017
FXUS63 KICT 181805
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
105 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUES FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY
- STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT
ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
- COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEK ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 155 AM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS TODAY WITH
INCREASING SOUTH WIND SPEEDS AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES OVER
CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
AGAIN TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 DEGREES
OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS. CURRENT SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS A HEALTHY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWESTERN STATES,
AND A LEAD SHORT WAVE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES. THE LEAD
SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND REACH EASTERN COLORADO BY
TONIGHT. THIS LEAD WAVE WILL SPARK OFF SHOWERS/STORMS IN EASTERN
COLORADO EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA
TONIGHT. MEANWHILE THE PARENT UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND EJECT OUT INTO NEBRASKA AND THE
DAKOTAS BY SUNDAY NIGHT. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD ACROSS KANSAS FOR SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT
ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH MODEST INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR AROUND 30KTS EXPECTED.
THERE IS ALSO SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL SATURDAY
NIGHT. COOLER AIR WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO PUSH SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE REGION FOR SUNDAY ALONG WITH LINGERING SHOWER/STORM CHANCES.
HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR WILL FINALLY OVERSPREAD
THE ENTIRE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. DRY WEATHER IS ALSO EXPECTED
WITH DRIER AIR IN PLACE AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLY ARRIVING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1250 PM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30 KNOTS AT TIMES WILL
BE COMMON ACROSS CENTRAL KS THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL
DIMINISH AND BACK TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION THIS EVENING. VFR IS
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LOOKING AHEAD, A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE TOWARD EARLY AFTERNOON ON SAT
ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS AND DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KS. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT
WINDS TO THE NORTH AND BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...MWM
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