587
FXUS63 KICT 210626
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
126 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY
- SHOWER/STORM CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FOR THURSDAY INTO
SATURDAY, SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW THIS PERIOD
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 125 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FOR
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCES THE
REGION. MEANWHILE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO STREAM NORTHWARD
FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN KANSAS FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY AS UPPER TROUGH OVER OVER THE WESTERN STATES MIGRATES
SLOWLY EAST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND STREAM NORTH OVER WESTERN KANSAS WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.
SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARDS CENTRAL
KANSAS ON THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH MODELS SHOWING UPPER WAVE PIVOTING EAST. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES
LOOK LOW THIS PERIOD WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY AND WEAK WIND SHEAR
ANTICIPATED. MODELS SHOW THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL WAVE EVENTUALLY
EJECTING FROM THE ROCKIES OUT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. AS A RESULT, THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN
UNSETTLED WITH SHOWER/STORM CHANCES CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY ACROSS
CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1103 PM CDT SUN SEP 20 2026
AVIATION CONCERN REMAINS LOW CLOUDS THROUGH AT LEAST MON
MORNING.
NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH MVFR
CIGS ENCOMPASSING ALL OF CENTRAL AND MUCH OF SOUTHERN KS. WILL
STICK WITH THE THINKING THAT THEY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO MON MORNING. FOR NOW WILL HAVE THEM
LIFTING TO VFR LEVELS IN THE 17-18Z TIME FRAME. LOOKING FURTHER
AHEAD, CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT LOW CIGS MAY WORK BACK INTO
THE AREA LATE MON NIGHT INTO TUE MORNING. WILL BE SOMETHING TO
KEEP AN EYE ON.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...RBL
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