709
FXUS63 KICT 211130
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
630 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY
- SHOWER/STORM CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FOR THURSDAY INTO
SATURDAY, SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW THIS PERIOD
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 125 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FOR
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCES THE
REGION. MEANWHILE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO STREAM NORTHWARD
FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN KANSAS FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY AS UPPER TROUGH OVER OVER THE WESTERN STATES MIGRATES
SLOWLY EAST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND STREAM NORTH OVER WESTERN KANSAS WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.
SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARDS CENTRAL
KANSAS ON THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH MODELS SHOWING UPPER WAVE PIVOTING EAST. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES
LOOK LOW THIS PERIOD WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY AND WEAK WIND SHEAR
ANTICIPATED. MODELS SHOW THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL WAVE EVENTUALLY
EJECTING FROM THE ROCKIES OUT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. AS A RESULT, THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN
UNSETTLED WITH SHOWER/STORM CHANCES CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY ACROSS
CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 625 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
LOW CLOUDS IN MVFR CATEGORY WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER OVER THE
AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS THEN CIGS SHOULD GRADULLY RISE BY
LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ABOVE MVFR
COULD LINGER OVER THE AREA TODAY, BUT LOWER CIGS COULD RETURN
AGAIN LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...CDJ
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