671
FXUS63 KICT 211729
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1229 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY
- SHOWER/STORM CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FOR THURSDAY INTO
SATURDAY, SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW THIS PERIOD
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 125 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FOR
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCES THE
REGION. MEANWHILE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO STREAM NORTHWARD
FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN KANSAS FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY AS UPPER TROUGH OVER OVER THE WESTERN STATES MIGRATES
SLOWLY EAST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND STREAM NORTH OVER WESTERN KANSAS WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.
SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARDS CENTRAL
KANSAS ON THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH MODELS SHOWING UPPER WAVE PIVOTING EAST. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES
LOOK LOW THIS PERIOD WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY AND WEAK WIND SHEAR
ANTICIPATED. MODELS SHOW THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL WAVE EVENTUALLY
EJECTING FROM THE ROCKIES OUT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. AS A RESULT, THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN
UNSETTLED WITH SHOWER/STORM CHANCES CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY ACROSS
CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
MVFR CEILINGS ARE STARTING TO LIFT OUT IN CENTRAL KS WITH
EXPECTATION THAT CLEARING WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS SOUTH INTO
SOUTH-CENTRAL KS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH CNU LIFTING TO VFR
LIKELY AROUND 21Z. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS UNDER 10 KTS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT TO LIGHT
EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 5 KTS. AFTER 09Z, CEILINGS ARE LIKELY TO
DROP BACK TO MVFR AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MORNING IN SOUTH-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KS WITH CENTRAL KS LIFTING OUT EARLY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL KS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO TUESDAY MORNING, THOUGH GIVEN UNCERTAINTY
MENTION WAS LEFT OUT OF THIS ISSUANCE.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...GC
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