624
FXUS63 KICT 062338
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
638 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER WITH WARM ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 117 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD AND STALL OUT OVER
CENTRAL KANSAS ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH NO WEATHER
EFFECTS OTHER THAN A WIND SHIFT. HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR WARM ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO PREVAIL OVER THE REGION DURING THE NEXT
7 DAYS WITH UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. MODELS DO SHOW
A TROPICAL SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS WEEK
AND BEING PULLED NORTHWARD TOWARDS ILLINOIS/INDIANA OVER THE
WEEKEND. THIS CURRENT MODEL TRACK WOULD HAVE LITTLE TO NO
WEATHER IMPACTS FOR KANSAS WITH A CONTINUATION OF WARM AND DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS. HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK LONGER RANGE
MODELS SHOW UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING MORE AMPLIFIED WITH
DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES, AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL STATES. THIS WILL CAUSE SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
INCREASE ALONG WITH DEEPER MOISTURE BEGINNING TO STREAM
NORTHWARD FROM WEST TEXAS INTO WESTERN KANSAS FOR MONDAY-
TUESDAY. THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE ON MODEL TIMING FOR WHEN THE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES SHIFTS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE ROCKIES WITH ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SPREADING INTO
CENTRAL KANSAS NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 631 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL SLIDE INTO NORTH-CENTRAL KS EARLY WED
MORNING AND WILL MAKE IT DOWN NEAR WICHITA BY AROUND SUNSET WED
EVENING. THE ONLY AFFECT THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE WILL BE TO FLIP
WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. CONFIDENCE REMAINS
VERY HIGH THAT VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...RBL
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