231
FXUS63 KICT 070347
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1047 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER WITH WARM ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 117 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD AND STALL OUT OVER
CENTRAL KANSAS ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING WITH NO WEATHER
EFFECTS OTHER THAN A WIND SHIFT. HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR WARM ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO PREVAIL OVER THE REGION DURING THE NEXT
7 DAYS WITH UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. MODELS DO SHOW
A TROPICAL SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS WEEK
AND BEING PULLED NORTHWARD TOWARDS ILLINOIS/INDIANA OVER THE
WEEKEND. THIS CURRENT MODEL TRACK WOULD HAVE LITTLE TO NO
WEATHER IMPACTS FOR KANSAS WITH A CONTINUATION OF WARM AND DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS. HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK LONGER RANGE
MODELS SHOW UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING MORE AMPLIFIED WITH
DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES, AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL STATES. THIS WILL CAUSE SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
INCREASE ALONG WITH DEEPER MOISTURE BEGINNING TO STREAM
NORTHWARD FROM WEST TEXAS INTO WESTERN KANSAS FOR MONDAY-
TUESDAY. THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE ON MODEL TIMING FOR WHEN THE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES SHIFTS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE ROCKIES WITH ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SPREADING INTO
CENTRAL KANSAS NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1036 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
AVIATION CONCERNS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN NIL THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
STILL LOOKING FOR A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH TO PROVIDE A WIND SHIFT
ON WED, HOWEVER LATEST GUIDANCE HAS SLOWED IT DOWN. SO NOT
EXPECTING IT THROUGH CENTRAL KS UNTIL AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER
SUNRISE AND MAY GET HUNG-UP BETWEEN KHUT AND KICT BY EARLY WED
EVENING. BEHIND THE TROUGH, LOOKING FOR WINDS TO FLIP AROUND TO
THE EAST/NORTHEAST BUT WILL REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE. CONFIDENCE
REMAINS VERY HIGH THAT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...RBL
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page