023
FXUS63 KICT 081725
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1225 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- A PATTERN CHANGE WILL BRING A RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES WITH INCREASING PROBABILITIES FOR PRECIPITATION
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 310 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
CURRENTLY, A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SITUATED OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN US AND EASTERN CANADA WHILE THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS OVER
THE WEST COAST OF THE US PLACING THE CENTRAL PLAINS UNDER WEAK
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. ANOMALOUS HEIGHTS OVER THE REGION WILL LEAD TO
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES REACHING ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE WILL REACH INTO THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER 80S EACH AFTERNOON. A FEW LOCATIONS IN SOUTHERN KANSAS
COULD TOP OUT IN THE LOWER 90S. BY FRIDAY, A TROUGH WILL BEGIN
DIGGING INTO THE PAC NW AND A CORRESPONDING SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHERN CANADIAN PRAIRIES. THE
RESULTING TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE PLAINS WILL LEAD TO
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS FOR FRI-MON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 15-
25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR A PATTERN CHANGE WILL THEN COME NEXT WEEK AS A
CUTOFF LOW DEVELOPS OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY AND LIFTS
TOWARD THE PLAINS BY MID WEEK. WHILE CONFIDENCE IN EXACT TIMING AND
IMPACTS REMAINS LOW, CONTINUITY BETWEEN MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE TAIL END OF
THE FORECAST TIME FRAME AND BEYOND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AT OR BELOW 10 KTS WILL CONTINUE THEN SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE IN CENTRAL KS LATE FRIDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO
20 KTS. WINDS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL WILL INCREASE AFTER 18Z FRIDAY.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...GC
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