536
FXUS63 KICT 090348
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1048 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO
RETURN MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 212 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS WITH
UPPER RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE US, KEEPING
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AT THE SURFACE, A LOW SITS OVER WESTERN
NEBRASKA WITH SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. IN OUR AREA, LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE WITH WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AS HIGHS RISE INTO THE UPPER 80S
ACROSS THE AREA. AS WE MOVE INTO LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON, AN UPPER
TROUGH WILL START TO DIG INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AS THIS
TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG INTO THE WESTERN CONUS INTO THE WEEKEND,
LEE TROUGHING WILL INCREASE LATE FRIDAY EVENING. THIS WILL
STRENGTHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY, RESULTING IN BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS. SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. AS
ABOVE NORMAL 850 MB TEMPERATURES PERSIST, WELL ABOVE NORMAL
HIGHS WILL ALSO CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S.
A PATTERN CHANGE IS LIKELY MID NEXT WEEK AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS PROPAGATES EAST INTO THE ROCKIES ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS TROUGH WILL LIKELY BRING THE NEXT ROUND OF
RAIN CHANCES TO THE AREA ALONG WITH MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.
HIGHS LOOK TO RETURN TO THE 70S INTO THE LOW 80S ACROSS THE AREA
LATE NEXT WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL START TO INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY, THOUGH DETAILS ON TIMING AND EXACT LOCATION
ARE STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME, STAY TUNED!
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1048 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT WITH CLEAR
CONDITIONS CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL BECOME BREEZY ACROSS CENTRAL KS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON ITH
SOME GUSTS OVER 20 KNOTS ANTICIPATED.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...GC
AVIATION...MWM
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