828
FXUS61 KILN 081515
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1015 AM EST FRI NOV 8 2024
SYNOPSIS
DRY WEATHER SETTLES IN AREA WIDE THROUGH SATURDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS THROUGH THE REGION. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
AREAS OF FOG DISSIPATING BUT WAS MORE STUBBORN IN THE VALLEY
AREAS. HIGH PRESSURE STILL DOMINATING THE MID OHIO VALLEY/LOWER
GREAT LAKES, WITH ADVANCING SYSTEM FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
LIKELY TO BRING IN HIGH AND MID CLOUDS TOWARD SUNSET TOWARD THE
INDIANA/OHIO BORDER. OTHERWISE, DRY CONDITIONS UNDER NW FLOW
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
60S.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/
THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS TO THE E OF THE REGION TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY, ALLOWING FOR SFC FLOW TO BECOME MORE EASTERLY,
PROVIDING A REINFORCING NUDGE OF DRY AIR BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
FOR TONIGHT, ASIDE FROM SOME CIRRUS FROM TIME-TO-TIME, MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP ONCE AGAIN. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
LOWER 40S IN THE TRI-STATE/N KY TO THE MID/UPPER 30S IN CENTRAL
OH.
CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
WEATHER-MAKER, WHICH WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ILN FA BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE N TO THE MID
60S IN THE S, WITH CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA
FROM SW TO NE BY LATE IN THE DAY.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE PLAINS
TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A
WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LIFTS THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
DURING THIS TIMEFRAME BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. STRONG WAA
CONTINUES INTO THE DAY ON SUNDAY WHICH WILL LIKELY ALLOW DEW POINTS
TO REACH UP NEAR 60 BY 3PM. ON SUNDAY EVENING, A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY BRINGING AN END TO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL.
HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURN. RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE BY THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WHEN ANOTHER LOW IS
FORECAST TO FORM NEAR THE GREAT LAKES.
AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH TODAY.
SOME CIRRUS WILL TRAVERSE THE OH VLY PERIODICALLY, BUT
OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NNW AT GENERALLY 5-7KTS OR
LESS THROUGH 00Z BEFORE GOING MORE OUT OF THE NE PAST 06Z AT
5KTS OR LESS.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...KC
NEAR TERM...JDR
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...CAMPBELL
AVIATION...KC
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