743
FXUS61 KILN 081808
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
108 PM EST FRI NOV 8 2024
SYNOPSIS
GRADUALLY INCREASING CLOUDS BUT STILL DRY WEATHER WILL DOMINATE
THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE PASSES THROUGH
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND MID OHIO VALLEY. AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BRING A CHANCE
OF RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN LIKELY ON SUNDAY. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE WORK WEEK.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
HIGH THIN CIRRUS APPROACHING THE TRI STATE AREA, BUT OTHERWISE
NORTHWEST FLOW SLOWLY PIVOTING TO MORE NORTHERLY AS THE SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS PROGRESSES INTO THE GREAT
LAKES. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE, WITH WINDS INCREASING TO GUSTS
APPROACHING 20MPH MAINLY NORTH OF I-70 UNDER A SLIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT. STILL EXPECTING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/
THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS TO THE E OF THE REGION TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY, ALLOWING FOR SFC FLOW TO BECOME MORE EASTERLY,
PROVIDING A REINFORCING NUDGE OF DRY AIR BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
FOR TONIGHT, ASIDE FROM SOME CIRRUS FROM TIME-TO-TIME, MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP ONCE AGAIN. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE
LOWER 40S IN THE TRI-STATE/N KY TO THE MID/UPPER 30S IN CENTRAL
OH.
CLOUD COVER WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
WEATHER-MAKER, WHICH WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE ILN FA BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE N TO THE MID
60S IN THE S, WITH CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA
FROM SW TO NE BY LATE IN THE DAY.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE PLAINS
TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A
WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LIFTS THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
DURING THIS TIMEFRAME BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. STRONG WAA
CONTINUES INTO THE DAY ON SUNDAY WHICH WILL LIKELY ALLOW DEW POINTS
TO REACH UP NEAR 60 BY 3PM. ON SUNDAY EVENING, A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY BRINGING AN END TO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL.
HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURN. RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE BY THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK WHEN ANOTHER LOW IS
FORECAST TO FORM NEAR THE GREAT LAKES.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA, WITH SCATTERED MOSTLY
THIN CIRRUS. LIGHT WINDS WILL PIVOT FROM NW TO EASTERLY THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH A DAY OF SUN AND DRYING CONDITIONS,
AND HIGH PRESSURE ABETTING A LITTLE LESS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE, NOT
EXPECTING THE SOMEWHAT PERSISTENT BR AND FG THAT LINGERED AT
KLUK/KILN AND KLCK THIS MORNING. WITH APPROACHING CLOUDS
EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED AND MOSTLY THIN BETWEEN 06-12Z, STILL
SOME POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER LEVEL MVFR VISIBILITIES AT THE
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED LOCATIONS. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...JDR
NEAR TERM...JDR
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...CAMPBELL
AVIATION...JDR
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