933
FXUS61 KILN 211814
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
214 PM EDT MON APR 21 2025
SYNOPSIS
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, EXITING BY
EVENING. THE AREA SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
PULL EAST, WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SLIGHTLY COOLER
AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE WEEK, WITH WARMER
AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY LATE THIS WEEK, BRINGING
SHOWERS AND STORMS BACK INTO THE AREA BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
SURFACE FRONT ROUGHLY HALFWAY THROUGH FORECAST AREA, WITH NO
LIGHTNING OBSERVED AS OF YET, THOUGH SOME SHOWERS COULD PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS OF UP TO 40MPH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON,
ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL OHIO, WITH GUSTS 25-35MPH IN SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO
AND NE KENTUCKY.
TEMPERATURES HOVERING AROUND 70 TO LOWER 70S, WITH TEMPERATURE FALLS
APPROACHING THE NW AREA FALLING INTO THE LOW 60S BY 6PM.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST AFTER FROPA TONIGHT AND MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR RETURNS TO
THE ON WESTERLY SURFACE FLOW. LOWS BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER 50S TO
UPPER 40S BY DAYBREAK BEFORE RISING INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS ON TUESDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGING
WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MIDWEEK, LEADING TO DRY
CONDITIONS AND WARM TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S.
A WEAK MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY
ON THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY A SOMEWHAT STRONGER MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE
THAT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL INITIALLY
ALLOW FOR A WARM FRONT TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON
THURSDAY, BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THEN EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. PCPN WILL
TAPER OFF FROM THE WEST SATURDAY MORNING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. A MORE SEASONABLE AIRMASS WILL THEN SETTLE
INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
NEAR 70 DEGREES.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHOWERS STILL TO AFFECT ESPECIALLY KCMH/KLCK, WITH FROPA RIGHT AT
KILN ATTM. WIND GUSTS AT KCMH/KLCK OF UP TO 30-35MPH THROUGH ABOUT
20Z POSSIBLE, AND MID-UPPER 20S GUSTS AREA WIDE THROUGH ABOUT 02Z.
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE WITH SHOWER
ACTIVITY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN
04KTS MUCH OF TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...JDR
NEAR TERM...JDR
SHORT TERM...CAMPBELL
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...JDR
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