299
FXUS61 KILN 211901
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
301 PM EDT MON APR 21 2025
SYNOPSIS
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, EXITING BY
EVENING. THE AREA SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
PULL EAST, WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SLIGHTLY COOLER
AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE WEEK, WITH WARMER
AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY LATE THIS WEEK, BRINGING
SHOWERS AND STORMS BACK INTO THE AREA BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/
SURFACE FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM CMH TO ILN TO JUST EAST OF OWENTON,
KY. STILL NO LIGHTNING APPARENT, BUT WATCHING SHOWERS FOR POTENTIAL
WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. SYNOPTIC WIND GUSTS BEHIND THE FRONT ALSO 30
TO UP TO 40MPH BEHIND THE FRONT, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-70.
TEMPERATURES OVER NORTHERN IN ALREADY FALLING INTO THE MID 50S, SO
AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL OHIO SHOULD START FALLING INTO THE LOWER 60S
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
EXPECTING THE LOW CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN INDIANA TO MOSTLY REMAIN NORTH
OF THE AREA, WITH THE EXCEPTION THIS EVENING NORTH OF THE DAYTON
AREA. UNDER NW FLOW/COLD AIR ADVECTION, OVERNIGHT LOWS MID 40S IN
WEST CENTRAL OHIO TO NEAR 50S IN KY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO.
SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA,
WITH NW FLOW SLOWLY SHIFTING TO SE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOME CAA
CLOUDS, BUT GENERALLY A SUN/CLOUD MIX. HIGH GENERALLY IN THE UPPER
60S/LOWER 70S. SOME LOSS OF DIURNAL CLOUDS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH A
RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW AND SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
IN THE 50S.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
DRY CONDITIONS WILL START OUT THE LONG TERM ON WEDNESDAY. A MORE
UNSETTLED PATTERN STARTS TO DEVELOP ON THURSDAY AND KEEPS
PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY. MOISTURE
STARTS TO WORK UP FROM THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY. FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE
THE WETTEST DAY AT THIS TIME AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND FRONTAL
BOUNDARY APPROACH THE REGION. LINGERING SHOWERS CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR SUNDAY.
THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A RETURN OF
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR MONDAY.
AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHOWERS STILL TO AFFECT ESPECIALLY KCMH/KLCK, WITH FROPA RIGHT AT
KILN ATTM. WIND GUSTS AT KCMH/KLCK OF UP TO 30-35MPH THROUGH ABOUT
20Z POSSIBLE, AND MID-UPPER 20S GUSTS AREA WIDE THROUGH ABOUT 02Z.
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS, THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE WITH SHOWER
ACTIVITY.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN
04KTS MUCH OF TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...JDR
NEAR TERM...JDR
SHORT TERM...JDR
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...JDR
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