017
FXUS61 KILN 171933
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
333 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEK. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN TOWARDS
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK BRINGING COOL, UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/
WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING, WIND GUSTS AND CLOUDS WILL
DIMINISH. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ONLY SLOWLY RELAX AND SO SOME WINDS
SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT. SOME CLOUDS MAY LINGER THROUGH THE
NIGHT AS WELL ALTHOUGH MOST AREA WILL BECOME MAINLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL SLOWLY
BUILD AS WELL. DIURNAL CUMULUS WILL STILL OCCUR, ESPECIALLY FROM WEST
CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL OHIO, BUT WILL NOT BE AS EXTENSIVE AS TODAY.
THEN SOME CIRRUS WILL START TO SPILL INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST INDIANA, NORTHERN KENTUCKY, AND
SOUTHWEST OHIO ON MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION
ACTIVITY MONDAY EVENING BEFORE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT SOME OF THE STORMS ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION COULD REACH STRONG TO SEVERE
LEVELS ON TUESDAY, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE
IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME.
SEVERAL ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES WORK THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY KEEPING PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST
DURING THIS TIME. AFTER THUNDER CHANCES DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY, NOT EXPECTING A LOT IN TERMS OF THUNDER FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE LONG TERM WITH A COOLER TEMPERATURE PATTERN.
AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR WILL PREVAIL. BROKEN TO SCATTERED CUMULUS WILL DIMINISH TOWARDS
00Z ALTHOUGH IT MAY NOT COMPLETELY DISSIPATE. GUSTS UP TO 30 KT IN
WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE EARLY BUT END TOWARDS 00Z. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 KT WILL PERSIST.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
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