828
FXUS61 KILN 180203
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1003 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEK. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN TOWARDS
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK BRINGING COOL, UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/
STRATOCU FIELD WILL LINGER IN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA TONIGHT. STRONGER
WIND GUSTS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE NIGHT,
BUT A SUSTAINED WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WIND AROUND 10 MPH PERSISTS
OVERNIGHT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS REMAIN IN PLACE, ALLOW FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS TO SINK INTO THE LOWER 50S AND PERHAPS SOME UPPER 40S.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL SLOWLY
BUILD AS WELL. DIURNAL CUMULUS WILL STILL OCCUR, ESPECIALLY FROM WEST
CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL OHIO, BUT WILL NOT BE AS EXTENSIVE AS TODAY.
THEN SOME CIRRUS WILL START TO SPILL INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST INDIANA, NORTHERN KENTUCKY, AND
SOUTHWEST OHIO ON MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION
ACTIVITY MONDAY EVENING BEFORE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT SOME OF THE STORMS ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION COULD REACH STRONG TO SEVERE
LEVELS ON TUESDAY, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE
IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME.
SEVERAL ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES WORK THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY KEEPING PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST
DURING THIS TIME. AFTER THUNDER CHANCES DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY, NOT EXPECTING A LOT IN TERMS OF THUNDER FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE LONG TERM WITH A COOLER TEMPERATURE PATTERN.
AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. CU FIELD WILL BREAK
APART TONIGHT, BUT ADDITIONAL CU DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
GUSTS SUBSIDE AFTER THE FIRST HOUR OR TWO OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS
GENERALLY REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST NORTH WEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CLARK
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...CLARK
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