631
FXUS61 KILN 231808
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
108 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY ON
MONDAY. A SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN TO THE REGION STARTING MONDAY NIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING COLDER AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEAR TERM. THERE WILL BE AN
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL BE THE MAIN POTENTIAL
MITIGATING FACTOR TO FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT. HAVE PATCHY FOG AND
PATCHY DENSE FOG IN ACROSS MANY PORTIONS OF THE REGION SINCE THERE
ARE LIGHT WINDS AND THE GREATER COVERAGE OF CLOUDS IS NOT EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO UNTIL LATER IN THE OVERNIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE
COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY, HOWEVER RAIN
WILL START TO MOVE INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT WIDESPREAD
COVERAGE IN RAIN BY LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 50S DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. ONLY EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO DROP DOWN INTO THE 40S MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE CLOUD
COVER.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO BE ONGOING TUESDAY MORNING AS A
WARM FRONT LIFTS THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALSO PROGRESSES THROUGH. AFTER THE INITIAL PUSH OF
MOISTURE AND FORCING DURING THE MORNING, RAIN CHANCES GO DOWN BUT
STILL PERSIST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. MODERATE SOUTHERLY
FLOW ALLOWS FORECAST HIGHS TO REACH UPWARDS OF 60 ESPECIALLY SOUTH
OF THE OHIO RIVER. CONDITIONS REMAIN UNSETTLED AND WARM TUESDAY
NIGHT.
ON WEDNESDAY, THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY DURING
THE DAYTIME WHICH WILL BRING AN END TO SHOWER ACTIVITY AND ALLOW
MUCH COLDER AIR TO ADVECT IN ON GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. DROPPING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON SO HIGH TEMPERATURES
ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR EARLY IN THE DAY. COLD AND GUSTY CONDITIONS
PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING AS A LOW STRONG
WRAPS UP IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. TEMPERATURES FOR THE HOLIDAY MAY
NOT GET OUT OF THE 30S AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL MAKE WIND CHILLS
FEEL A BIT COLDER. CHILLY, DRY WEATHER CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WHICH AT LEAST LEADS TO CALMER
WINDS.
THE SURFACE HIGH QUICKLY MOVES EAST BY SATURDAY NIGHT. WARMER, MOIST
AIR LIFTS NORTH INTO THE REGION WEST OF THE HIGH. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES INCREASE ON SATURDAY AND BLOSSOM BY SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL START OUT THE TAF PERIOD AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF THE NIGHT. FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY AT
KLUK AND KILN. THE ONE MITIGATING FACTOR TO THE FOG WILL BE AN
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY ALONG
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME MID CLOUDS AS WELL.
OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY, WITH MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY.
WINDS GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KT ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
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