103
FXUS61 KILN 252334
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
634 PM EST THU DEC 25 2025
SYNOPSIS
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIFT NORTHWARDS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY. A STRONG STORM
SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
JUST A FEW SHOWERS REMAIN ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION
NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. OTHERWISE, EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE REGION.
TONIGHT THERE WILL BE ADDITIONAL FOG DEVELOPMENT AND ALSO SHOWERS
WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL START TO WORK
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO
START TO CLIMB OVERNIGHT. CANNOT RULE OUT VERY BRIEF FREEZING RAIN
ACROSS SMALL AREAS OF CENTRAL OHIO LATE TONIGHT, BUT IN GENERAL
EXPECT RAIN.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/
SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY BEFORE STARTING TO TAPER
OFF IN THE EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL LEAVE THE REMAINDER OF FRIDAY
NIGHT DRY. FRIDAY WILL BE A WARM DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S.
FRIDAY NIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 30S NORTH TO MIDDLE 40S
SOUTH.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE ON SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT AS WINDS SWITCH AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST. MORE ACTIVE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. ON SUNDAY, A DEEPENING LOW MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES LIFTING A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY. RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH DURING THE
DAY. A BRIEF LULL IN THE RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARM SECTOR IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES RAPIDLY INCREASE ONCE AGAIN
LATE SUNDAY WHEN A STRONG COLD FRONT ATTACHED TO THE DEEPENING LOW
MOVES THROUGH. GUSTY WINDS USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR AFTER FROPA AND
RAIN MAY BRIEFLY SWITCH OVER TO SNOW AS TEMPERATURES PLUMMET FROM
THE 60S ON SUNDAY TO THE 20S BY MONDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONG CAA.
COLD, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AS THE LOW PROGRESSES NORTHEAST INTO CANADA. COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS
PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT, BUT FELT THAT COVERAGE WOULD BE LIMITED ENOUGH
TO NOT WARRANT A MENTION IN THE TAFS. HOWEVER, MVFR/IFR CIGS CAN BE
EXPECTED AT THE START OF THE PERIOD FOR KCVG/KLUK, SLOWLY MAKING
THEIR WAY UP TOWARDS THE NORTHERN TERMINALS. SOME MVFR/IFR VSBYS
POSSIBLE AS WELL, WITH BOTH CIG AND VSBY REDUCTIONS PERSISTING
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. SOME LIFR CIGS POSSIBLE
LATER FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN CAN EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY
FRIDAY, BUT OVERALL, THE RAIN WILL REMAIN VERY LIGHT. COLD FRONT
EVENTUALLY WORKS ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION, RESULTING IN A WIND
SHIFT TO THE WEST.
OUTLOOK...MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
THERE MAY BE A BREAK SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. BUT MVFR TO IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY TO RETURN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY
ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
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