247
FXUS61 KILN 281812
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
112 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2025
SYNOPSIS
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING A SHORT
PERIOD OF SHOWERS, THEN GUSTY WINDS AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
THROUGH MONDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK. LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A CLIPPER
SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CUT THROUGH THE CWA LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WEAK LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAA PATTERN. THE MAIN
WEATHER IMPACTS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT. A LINE OF
STRONGLY FORCED SHOWERS ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL BRING WITH THEM THE
THREAT OF STRONG TO ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. SUPPOSE A FEW
RUMBLES OF THUNDER CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL. TEMPERATURES WILL
SHARPLY FALL BEHIND THE FRONT, DROPPING BELOW FREEZING BY THE MONDAY
MORNING COMMUTE. SUPPOSE ANY LINGERING MOISTURE COULD FREEZE AND
CAUSE SCATTERED SLICK SPOTS ON ROADWAYS.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
EFFICIENT MIXING IN THE CAA PATTERN ON MONDAY WILL BRING PERSISTENT
GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. THE FOCUS FOR THE STRONGEST GUSTS
(40-50 MPH) APPEARS TO BE FROM 7AM TO 1PM. BY AFTERNOON, A
REINFORCING FRONT WILL BRING A FEW BANDS OF LAKE-EFFECT SNOW ACROSS
OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. THESE SHOULD WEAKEN A BIT WITH NIGHTFALL AS
THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO LOOSEN. DESPITE THIS, WIND CHILLS ARE LIKELY
TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO MONDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
THE MAIN CONCERNS FOR THE LONG TERM ARE SINGLE DIGIT WIND CHILLS
TUESDAY MORNING, CLIPPER SYSTEM BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR A QUICK
SHOT OF SNOW NEW YEARS EVE INTO NEW YEARS DAY, AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
SINGLE DIGIT WIND CHILL VALUES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
WITH THE WINDS AND COOLER AIR MOVING IN, SINGLE DIGIT WIND CHILL
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
MODELS ARE STARTING TO COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE NEW YEARS
EVE INTO NEW YEARS DAY SYSTEM. WHILE THERE ARE STILL SOME
DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS WITH STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM, SOME LIGHT
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE STARTING TO LOOK MORE LIKELY. WENT WITH
AROUND A HALF INCH ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST TO AROUND 2 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OHIO.
THE COOL AIRMASS COMBINED WITH THIS EXPECTED SNOW AND CLEARING SKIES
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO TEENS. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
AROUND 0. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY RECOVER INTO THE 20S TO AROUND
FREEZING ON FRIDAY.
THERE ARE SOME HINTS AT ANOTHER SYSTEM NEXT WEEKEND, HOWEVER THERE
IS A LOT OF MODEL VARIABILITY AND THEREFORE KEPT PRECIPITATION
CHANCES PRETTY LOW FOR THAT SYSTEM AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THIS AFTERNOON, THEN CUTS THROUGH THE
TERMINALS THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY PARTS OF THE OVERNIGHT.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST IN THE 20-30 KNOT RANGE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL CAUSE A SUDDEN
INCREASE IN WINDS ALONG WITH A SHARP CHANGE IN DIRECTION TO
NORTHWESTERLY. HAVE CONTINUED TO FOCUS A SHORT TEMPO GROUP DURING
THE PERIOD OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
BEHIND THE FRONT, THE COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN WILL CAUSE WINDS TO
CONTINUE TO GUST OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE WILL
LIKELY BE ISOLATED GUSTS ABOVE 40 KNOTS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS...
ESPECIALLY FROM DAY TO ILN AND THE COLUMBUS TERMINALS.
OUTLOOK... MVFR CEILINGS AND WIND GUSTS AT OR ABOVE 30 KT
LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR OHZ026-
034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR
KYZ089>100.
IN...WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR INZ050-
058-059-066-073>075-080.
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page