894
FXUS61 KILN 260605
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
105 AM EST MON JAN 26 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SLIGHT CHANCE FOR FLURRIES/SNOW SHOWERS TODAY.
2) A SIGNIFICANT/PROLONGED ARCTIC OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED FOR THE
REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, WITH PERIODS OF DANGEROUS
EXTREME COLD. OUTDOOR EXPOSURE SHOULD BE LIMITED THROUGH SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) SLIGHT CHANCE FOR FLURRIES/SNOW SHOWERS TODAY.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. MOISTURE IS LIMITED TO MAINLY THE LOW LEVELS SO EXPECT
JUST SOME FLURRIES THIS MORNING. LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN
LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF OUR AREA WHERE CONDITIONS WILL BE SOMEWHAT MORE
FAVORABLE.
2) A SIGNIFICANT/PROLONGED ARCTIC OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED FOR THE
REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, WITH PERIODS OF DANGEROUS
EXTREME COLD. OUTDOOR EXPOSURE SHOULD BE LIMITED THROUGH SATURDAY.
WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS THANKS
TO REPEATED SHOTS OF ARCTIC AIR AND A DEEP SNOWPACK. THE LONGEVITY
AND MAGNITUDE OF THIS PATTERN MAY RIVAL SOME OF THE TOP-10 COLDEST,
LONGEST STRETCHES ON RECORD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. THE COMBINATION
OF BRISK SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH AND TEMPERATURES BELOW
ZERO WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS BELOW 20F MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY
MORNING. AMBIENT TEMPERATURES MULTIPLE NIGHTS THIS WEEK WILL BE JUST
AS COLD AS TUESDAY, HOWEVER WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE AS STRONG
WHICH RESULTS IN SLIGHTLY LESS SEVERE WIND CHILL VALUES.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO SOME LIGHT FLURRIES THIS MORNING AND
THEN A FEW SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL INTO
THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME MVFR VSBYS POSSIBLE AT TIMES WITH ANY SNOW.
SKIES WILL CLEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS UP INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR OHZ026-034-035-
042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR OHZ026-034-
035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST TUESDAY FOR
OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR KYZ089>100.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR KYZ089>100.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST TUESDAY FOR
KYZ089>100.
IN...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR INZ050-058-059-066-
073>075-080.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR INZ050-058-
059-066-073>075-080.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST TUESDAY FOR
INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080.
DISCUSSION...CAMPBELL/JGL
AVIATION...JGL
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