236
FXUS61 KILN 280002
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
702 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SOME AREAS UPGRADED TO A COLD WEATHER WARNING FOR TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A SIGNIFICANT/PROLONGED ARCTIC OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH PERIODS OF DANGEROUS EXTREME COLD.
OUTDOOR EXPOSURE SHOULD BE LIMITED.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) A SIGNIFICANT/PROLONGED ARCTIC OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH PERIODS OF DANGEROUS EXTREME COLD.
OUTDOOR EXPOSURE SHOULD BE LIMITED.
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A FRONT CROSSES
THE REGION. WINDS WILL QUICKLY SUBSIDE DURING THE EVENING AND SKIES
WILL BECOME MAINLY CLEAR. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN AIR TEMPERATURES
GETTING COLDER THAN LAST NIGHT. EVEN WITH LESS WIND, APPARENT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY LOW AGAIN, TO THE EXTENT THAT NORTHERN
COUNTIES HAVE BEEN UPGRADED FROM ADVISORY TO WARNING.
THERE MAY BE A VERY MODEST UPWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES AFTER
TONIGHT, ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES MAY STILL BE NEEDED FOR THE
NIGHT TIME PERIODS.
AN ELONGATED EAST-WEST MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL USHER IN ANOTHER REINFORCEMENT OF ARCTIC AIR.
SOME TEMPERATURES RECORDS WILL BE IN JEOPARDY FRIDAY NIGHT, SATURDAY,
AND SATURDAY NIGHT. AND APPARENT TEMPERATURES MAY FALL BACK INTO
WARNING TERRITORY.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ANY LINGERING BKN CLOUD DECK BTWN 2 AND 3KFT WILL MOVE EAST AND AWAY
FROM THE TAF SITES, IF NOT BY THE TOP OF THE HOUR, THEN BY 01Z. WIND
WILL ALSO LOSE ANY GUSTINESS AND CALM DOWN SLIGHTLY TO 10-12KT.
AFTERWARD, CLEAR SKIES WITH MAYBE SOME PASSING CIRRUS TO THE SOUTH
WILL BE FOUND OVERNIGHT, ALONG WITH WINDS DROPPING TO 7KT OR BELOW.
TOMORROW MORNING WILL SEE CU DEVELOPING WITH A BKN DECK AT 15KFT.
THIS HIGH DECK WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AND REPLACED BY WINDS OVER 12KT
AND MVFR CIGS THAT WILL LINGER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS.
MVFR CIGS COULD POSSIBLY BREAK UP TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD AT CVG/LUK BUT LINGER INTO THE EVENING AT NRN TERMINALS. WIND
WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE THIS DIURNAL AND DROP TO UNDER 8KT A LITTLE
BEFORE NIGHTFALL, LIKELY BY 00Z. SOME LOWER CIGS YET STILL MVFR WERE
NOTED AT CMH/LCK WITH A POTENTIAL OF LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES FALLING
FROM IT AT THE TAIL END OF THE FORECAST.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN NRN TAF SITES,
AND AT ALL LOCATIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR OHZ026-034-035-
042>046-051>056-060>065-072.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR OHZ070-071-073-
074-077>082-088.
KY...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR KYZ089>100.
IN...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR INZ050-058-059.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY FOR INZ066-073>075-
080.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...FRANKS
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