803
FXUS61 KILN 280849
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
349 AM EST WED JAN 28 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ISSUED A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A SIGNIFICANT/PROLONGED ARCTIC OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH PERIODS OF DANGEROUS EXTREME COLD.
OUTDOOR EXPOSURE SHOULD BE LIMITED.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) A SIGNIFICANT/PROLONGED ARCTIC OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH PERIODS OF DANGEROUS EXTREME COLD.
OUTDOOR EXPOSURE SHOULD BE LIMITED.
SHEARED OUT MID LEVEL ENERGY WILL PIVOT DOWN THROUGH THE MID OHIO
VALLEY TODAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND PERHAPS A
FEW FLURRIES. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS, SOME PARTIAL CLEARING WILL
DEVELOP HEADING INTO TONIGHT BUT THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW
FAST THIS WILL OCCUR AND ALSO IF ADDITIONAL CLOUDS WILL REDEVELOP
LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT, THE TEMPERATURE
FORECAST FOR TONIGHT IS SOMEWHAT TRICKY. FOR NOW WILL RANGE LOWS FROM
-5 OR SO IN THE NORTH TO THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS IN THE SOUTH. IT
LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE TO MEET COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA
TONIGHT WILL BE ACROSS OUR NORTH SO WILL ISSUE ONE THERE. WILL HOLD
OFF ACROSS THE SOUTH ATTM DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY.
ON FRIDAY NIGHT, A REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES ON
DEVELOPING NORTHERLY FLOW WHEN THE EARLY STAGES OF CYCLOGENESIS BEGIN
OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. FORECAST LOWS ARE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
BELOW ZERO ALONG WITH 5-10 MPH WINDS. THIS MAY RESULT IN WIND CHILLS
FROM -15 TO -20 F LATE FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY INTO
EARLY EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN SOME STRATOCUMULUS
CLOUDS AROUND 3000 FEET OR SO. AS A RESULT, SOME MVFR CIGS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PARTIAL
CLEARING WILL DEVELOP HEADING INTO THIS EVENING WITH VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN NRN TAF
SITES, AND AT ALL LOCATIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR OHZ026-034-035-
042>046-051>056-060>065-072.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY
FOR OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-071>074-080.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR OHZ070-071-073-074-
077>082-088.
KY...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR KYZ089>100.
IN...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR INZ050-058-059.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY
FOR INZ050-058-059.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR INZ066-073>075-080.
DISCUSSION...JGL
AVIATION...CAMPBELL/JGL
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