617
FXUS61 KILN 291140
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
640 AM EST THU JAN 29 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
DECREASED LOW TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT IN ADDITION TO THE LOWS THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A SIGNIFICANT/PROLONGED ARCTIC OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH PERIODS OF DANGEROUS EXTREME COLD.
OUTDOOR EXPOSURE SHOULD BE LIMITED.
2) SEVERAL CHANCES OF LIGHT SNOW.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) A SIGNIFICANT/PROLONGED ARCTIC OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH PERIODS OF DANGEROUS EXTREME COLD.
OUTDOOR EXPOSURE SHOULD BE LIMITED.
CONTINUED COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THE ENTIRE REGION IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. WHILE A FEW SPOTS
NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER COULD SEE TEMPERATURES RISE JUST
ABOVE FREEZING TUESDAY, WEDNESDAY, AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON, MOST
LOCATIONS WILL STAY BELOW FREEZING THROUGH THE WEEK. SUB ZERO
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AT LEAST PART OF THE AREA FOR LOW
TEMPERATURES EVERY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE OVERLY HIGH DURING THIS TIME, WIND CHILL VALUES WILL
BE EVEN COOLER AND WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH CRITERIA FOR COLD
HEADLINES. THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE BORDERLINE AND THEREFORE AFTER
COLLABORATION, DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON COLD HEADLINES AT THIS TIME.
CONTINUED THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FOR OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING
DAYTIME HOURS THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN HIGHLY VARIABLE
AND EXPECT THAT TREND TO CONTINUE, HOWEVER MANY LOCATIONS HAVE
DROPPED BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING.
KEY MESSAGE 2) SEVERAL CHANCES OF LIGHT SNOW.
SEVERAL WEAK SYSTEMS WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE
AREA. A SYSTEM MOVING PRIMARILY SOUTH OF THE REGION WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW TO GENERALLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO
RIVER FRIDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER
IN THE DAY ON FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY BRINGING THE
POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOW. THERE IS MORE VARIABILITY, HOWEVER MODELS
INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THESE SYSTEMS TO SEE IF ANY
BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED WITH TIME.
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL START OUT THE TAF PERIOD. THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR SNOW FLURRIES AT KCMH AND
KLCK OFF AND ON TODAY. LIMITED MENTION TO A TEMPO SNOW SHOWER THIS
MORNING AT THIS TIME. CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP AND WORK INTO THE TAF SITES
THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE SOME LOCATIONS WILL STAY SCATTERED, OTHER AREA
TAF SITES WILL HAVE ENOUGH CLOUD COVER FOR MVFR CIGS. THIS WILL
CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT, HOWEVER GIVEN THE LACK OF FOG FORMATION THIS
MORNING, LIMITED ANY FOG MENTION TO MVFR AT THIS TIME AND NOT AT ALL
LOCATIONS. A SYSTEM WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF KCVG AND KLUK TAF SITES
TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS AS THOUGH SNOW WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE
TAF SITES AND THEREFORE KEPT DRY CONDITIONS IN THE TAF.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING. MVFR
CEILINGS ALSO POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON, AND THEN AGAIN SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. MVFR CONDITIONS AGAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
ON MONDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR OHZ026-034-
035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082.
KY...NONE.
IN...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR INZ050-058-
059.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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