167
FXUS61 KILN 090543
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1243 AM EST MON FEB 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) VERY COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO
ARE LIKELY IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL OH THROUGH DAYBREAK
BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF CLOUD COVER PAST SUNRISE.
2) A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE
WORKWEEK, WITH THE WARMEST DAY EXPECTED TO BE TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH
COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL SETTLE BACK IN BY MIDWEEK THROUGH THE END OF
THE WORKWEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
A NARROW NW-TO-SE BAND OF 6-8KFT CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE E
FROM THE TRI-STATE EARLY THIS MORNING INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL OH PAST SUNRISE. WITH THIS IN MIND, SKIES WILL REMAIN
MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT IN PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL OH AND
NORTHEAST KY THROUGH DAYBREAK. A DEEP SNOW PACK, COMBINED WITH LIGHT
EASTERLY SFC FLOW LESS THAN 5KTS, WILL YIELD FAVORABLE RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS, PARTICULARLY IN LOW-LYING AND SHELTERED LOCALES.
THIS WILL RESULT IN LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS IN
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL OH TO THE UPPER TEENS IN THE TRI-
STATE INTO ERN IN. MINIMUM APPARENT TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND ZERO IN CENTRAL OH TO ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO IN THE TRI-
STATE INTO ERN IN.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
ARCTIC AIR WILL RETREAT TODAY INTO TUESDAY. EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO RANGE FROM AROUND 40 DEGREES NEAR/N OF I-70 TO THE MID 50S NEAR/S
OF THE OH RVR TUESDAY. HIGHS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL GENERALLY
BE IN THE LOWER/MID 30S NEAR/N OF I-70 TO THE LOWER 40S NEAR/S OF THE
OH RVR. PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
INCREASE NEXT WEEKEND, PARTICULARLY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE WILL ONLY BE SOME 5-7KFT
CIGS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH 18Z. SKIES SHOULD TREND CLEARER
PAST 18Z FROM SW TO NE, WITH JUST SOME CIRRUS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF
THE TAF PERIOD.
THERE IS A SIGNAL FOR INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TOWARD/BEYOND 06Z
TUESDAY, WITH BR/FG DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE, ALONG WITH IFR OR LOWER
CIGS, BY DAYBREAK. SOME SW LLWS ON THE ORDER OF 40-45KTS IS ALSO
EXPECTED BETWEEN 06Z-12Z TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...IFR CIGS LIKELY, WITH LIFR CIGS POSSIBLE, TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT. IFR VSBYS POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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