211
FXUS61 KILN 121821
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
121 PM EST THU FEB 12 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OVER THE WEEKEND HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WEEKEND AND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
2) MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WEEKEND AND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY WITH A SYSTEM
BRINGING RAIN TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. RAIN COVERAGE
AND AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHEST NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER, HOWEVER
THE ENTIRE REGION HAS AT LEAST THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN. WHILE SOME
PONDING OF WATER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A HALF INCH TO AROUND AN INCH
OF RAIN POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER, FLOODING CONCERNS
REMAIN LOW AT THIS TIME SINCE MUCH OF THE SNOWPACK HAS ALREADY
MELTED.
KEY MESSAGE 2) MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER THE BIG
WARMUP WILL OCCUR NEXT WEEK AS WIDESPREAD 50S AND 60S ARE EXPECTED.
NEAR RECORD HIGHS CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR WEDNESDAY. THIS WARMUP
WILL NOT BE WITHOUT BREEZY CONDITIONS AS WINDS WILL PICK UP AND BE
GUSTY ON WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL START OUT THE TAF PERIOD. THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME MVFR CIGS TO WORK INTO KCMH AND KLCK FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON. HAVE MVFR VSBYS IN AT KCVG AND KILN LATE IN
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH FOG POTENTIAL. DROP VSBYS LOWER AT KLUK WITH
RIVER LOCATION. VSBYS WILL RETURN TO VFR DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...MVFR VSBYS AND CIGS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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