283
FXUS61 KILN 122240
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
540 PM EST THU FEB 12 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OVER THE WEEKEND HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WEEKEND AND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
2) MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WEEKEND AND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY WITH A SYSTEM
BRINGING RAIN TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. RAIN COVERAGE
AND AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHEST NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER, HOWEVER
THE ENTIRE REGION HAS AT LEAST THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN. WHILE SOME
PONDING OF WATER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A HALF INCH TO AROUND AN INCH
OF RAIN POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER, FLOODING CONCERNS
REMAIN LOW AT THIS TIME SINCE MUCH OF THE SNOWPACK HAS ALREADY
MELTED.
RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN IN THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 2) MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND, HOWEVER THE BIG
WARMUP WILL OCCUR NEXT WEEK AS WIDESPREAD 50S AND 60S ARE EXPECTED.
NEAR RECORD HIGHS CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR WEDNESDAY. THIS WARMUP
WILL NOT BE WITHOUT BREEZY CONDITIONS AS WINDS WILL PICK UP AND BE
GUSTY ON WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SOME BORDERLINE VFR/MVFR CLOUDS (WITH BRIEF CIGS POSSIBLE) WILL
LINGER NEAR KCMH/KLCK THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE TAF PERIOD, WITH
PATCHES OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS PROVIDING PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE. A FEW CIRRUS ARE EXPECTED BY THE AFTERNOON, WITH SKC
FAVORED ELSEWHERE FOR MOST OF THE DAYTIME.
THE PRIMARY ITEM OF INTEREST IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME BR/FG TO
DEVELOP, PARTICULARLY AT PRONE SPOTS OF KILN/KLUK. WHILE SOME BRIEF
MVFR VSBY WILL BE POSSIBLE AT KCVG/KILN IN THE SEVERAL HOURS AROUND
DAYBREAK, IFR OR LOWER VSBY IS FAVORED AT KLUK DURING THIS TIME.
GIVEN THE THERMAL PROFILE, DO THINK A BRIEF PERIOD OF FZFG IS
POSSIBLE AT KLUK AROUND SUNRISE BEFORE VSBY RAPIDLY RETURNS TO VFR
ONCE AGAIN BY 13Z.
LIGHT/VRB WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE GOING MORE
OUT OF THE SW AROUND 5KTS FOR THE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CIGS ARE LIKELY, WITH MVFR VSBY POSSIBLE, SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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