415
FXUS61 KILN 202258
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
558 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO MAJOR CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. WINDS DECREASE THIS
EVENING WITH ATTENTION SHIFTING TO THE COLDER TEMPERATURES AND
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THIS WEEKEND.
KEY MESSAGES
1) GUSTY WINDS DECREASE THIS EVENING.
2) SNOW POTENTIAL FOR SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES LATE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
STRONG WINDS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT AS THE LOW PRESSURE
WEAKENS, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY RELAX INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WIND
ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6PM AS PLANNED.
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND CALMING WINDS SUPPORT TEMPERATURES DROPPING
BELOW FREEZING FOR SATURDAY MORNING.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
WHILE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT, CONFIDENCE
IS INCREASING THAT MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR SUNDAY INTO
EARLY MONDAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE FORMS OFF THE EAST COAST. NO
MAJOR CHANGES TO THE OVERALL FORECAST AT THIS TIME, WITH PERHAPS A
MINOR DECREASE IN OVERALL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS GIVEN TEMPERATURES NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MORE EFFICIENT SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET. EVENTUALLY,
PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW BECOME MORE SCATTERED INTO MONDAY, ENDING AS
FLURRIES MONDAY EVENING. GIVEN THE LONG DURATION OF LIGHT SNOW, TOTAL
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE STILL IN THE ONE TO TWO INCH RANGE, WITH THE
LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA. SOME
TRAVEL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING
INTO THE MID TO LOWER 20S.
THE COLDEST PERIOD OF TEMPERATURES WILL BE FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ARE ARE IN THE LOWER 20S TO
MID TEENS. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON
TUESDAY. A WARMING TREND IS NOTED FOR WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR CU WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE START OF THE TAF PERIOD AT KDAY, KILN,
KCMH, AND KLCK. IN ADDITION SOME WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT
THE START OF THE TAF PERIOD. WIND GUSTS WILL THEN SUBSIDE. ANY WIND
GUSTS ON SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE MORE ISOLATED. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
START TO WORK INTO THE TAF SITES OVERNIGHT AND THEN MID CLOUDS ON
SATURDAY. SNOW WILL THEN START TO BE POSSIBLE AT THE END OF THE
LONGER KCVG TAF.
OUTLOOK...MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY WITH SNOW. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MCGINNIS
AVIATION...
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