696
FXUS61 KILN 262335
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
635 PM EST THU FEB 26 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
MID LEVEL ENERGY WILL MOVE OUT OF THE WESTERN US THIS WEEKEND IN
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND PROGRESS EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. AS IT DOES, A SURFACE WAVE AND/OR INVERTED TROUGH WILL
SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEY REGION. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR PCPN TO OVERSPREAD OUR REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THERMAL
PROFILES AND ANY SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK
OF THE SYSTEM, BUT AS OF NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. FOR NOW, WILL
KEEP MORE OF A RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS OUR SOUTH.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ALTHOUGH SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR TO START THE PERIOD, A DECK OF MID
CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE TERMINALS EARLY, PERSISTING THROUGH MUCH
OF THE OVERNIGHT BEFORE EXITING TO THE EAST AROUND 12Z. THIS LENDS
ITSELF TO SOME UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING THE BR/FG POTENTIAL, EVEN FOR
SRN SITES OF KCVG/KLUK. NEVERTHELESS, STILL THINK THAT BRIEF MVFR
(OR EVEN IFR) VSBY WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THESE SITES IN THE SEVERAL
HOURS AROUND DAYBREAK.
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO VFR AREA-WIDE AFTER 13Z, WITH SOME CIRRUS
EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME. LIGHT/VRB WINDS THROUGH 15Z WILL GO OUT
OF THE SW AT 10-15KTS, WITH GUSTS AROUND 20KTS, BY 18Z BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT. MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JGL
AVIATION...
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