058
FXUS61 KILN 051152
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
652 AM EST THU MAR 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
CANCELLED REMAINDER OF THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DENSE FOG OVERNIGHT.
2) MORE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING POTENTIAL INTO THURSDAY.
3) NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE FRIDAY.
4) MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.
5) AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) DENSE FOG OVERNIGHT.
WHILE PATCHY DENSE FOG REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE REGION AND SOUTHEASTERN AREAS, WIDESPREAD QUARTER OF A MILE
VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED.
KEY MESSAGE 2) MORE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING POTENTIAL INTO THURSDAY.
CONTINUED THE FLOOD WATCH. THIS MIGHT HAVE TO BE EXPANDED NORTHWARD
OR IN TIME, HOWEVER AFTER COLLABORATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES, THE
DECISION WAS TO HOLD OFF ON ANY EXPANSION AT THIS TIME.
KEY MESSAGE 3) NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE FRIDAY.
THE CURRENT FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY ARE 75 AT DAY, 74
AT CMH, AND 76 AT CVG. THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE DAY ARE
74 AT DAY, 76 AT CMH, AND 74 AT CVG.
KEY MESSAGE 4) MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.
MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING CONCERNS AND ALSO AT LEAST ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.
KEY MESSAGE 5) AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
WARM CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE
FORECAST FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE TAF SITES TODAY. CANNOT RULE
OUT SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER. RAIN WILL BECOME LESS IN COVERAGE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THERE HAS AND CONTINUES TO BE A LOT OF VARIABILITY
WITH CIGS AND VSBYS. IN GENERAL THERE WILL BE SOME IMPROVEMENT THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BEFORE MORE LOW CIGS AND VSBYS BECOME
POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME WIND GUSTS AT TIMES
TODAY.
OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY RETURN ON SATURDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR OHZ053>056-060>065-
070>074-077>080-082.
KY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR KYZ089>093.
IN...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR INZ050-058-059-066-
073>075-080.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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