389
FXUS61 KILN 060732
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
232 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR PARTS OF THE REGION.
KEY MESSAGES
1) RESIDUAL FLOODING AND PRECIPITATION TODAY.
2) NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TODAY.
3) MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER.
4) AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) RESIDUAL FLOODING AND PRECIPITATION TODAY.
SOME AREA RIVERS ARE STILL HIGH AND A FEW REMAIN IN FLOOD. THERE IS
ADDITIONAL ONGOING SHOWER ACTIVITY NEAR THE OHIO RIVER THIS MORNING.
ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE WITH TIME AND SHIFT NORTHWARD.
KEY MESSAGE 2) NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE TODAY.
PRECIPITATION AND CLOUDS WILL DECREASE. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING
WARM CONDITIONS TO THE AREA TODAY. CURRENT FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY ARE CVG 77, DAY 76, AND CMH 74. RECORDS ARE LISTED BELOW. AT
THIS TIME HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW RECORD VALUES
FOR SATURDAY, HOWEVER THIS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON PRECIPITATION
TIMING.
RECORDS FOR MARCH 6:
CVG 74 (1910,1973) 60 (1956)
CMH 76 (1973) 55 (1983)
DAY 74 (1910, 2022) 58 (1946, 1956)
RECORDS FOR MAR 7:
CVG 79 (1974) 58 (1974)
CMH 77 (1974, 1983, 2009) 56 (1974)
DAY 76 (1974, 2000) 56 (2009)
KEY MESSAGE 3) MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER.
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. THE BEST
SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION
ACROSS CENTRAL OHIO, DOWN INTO THE LOWER SCIOTO VALLEY AND PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY. CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORM FURTHER WEST FROM THIS AREA HOWEVER. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE
DAMAGING WINDS. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE PROGRESSIVE, HOWEVER WITH
SATURATED SOILS, HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED FLOODING
CONCERNS.
KEY MESSAGE 4) AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
ANOTHER UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPS FOR NEXT WEEK WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. COLDER AIR MOVES INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS DROPPING DOWN INTO THE 30S IN MANY
LOCATIONS. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF MOISTURE WITH THE TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY TIMEFRAME AND THEREFORE CANNOT RULE OUT ADDITIONAL
FLOODING CONCERNS.
AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
STRATUS AND FOG DEVELOPMENT HAVE ALREADY STARTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY
AS WINDS START TO PICK UP AND RETURN TO VFR. WIND GUSTS AROUND 20
KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY. LLWS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE
END OF THE LONGER KCVG TAF. WHILE MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD WILL REMAIN
DRY, TIMED IN SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY AT SOME OF THE TAF SITES WHERE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.
OUTLOOK...LLWS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT. MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
LIKELY ALONG WITH THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR OHZ042>046-
051>056-060>062.
KY...NONE.
IN...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR INZ050-058-059.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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