307
FXUS61 KILN 271828
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
228 PM EDT FRI MAR 27 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
1) RAIN ENDS EARLY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO THE
FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND.
2) A WARM UP WITH AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
POST FRONTAL RAIN LINGERING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND
SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO WILL COME TO AN END BY MID AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR
WORKS IN FROM THE NORTH.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH A LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OF CANADIAN
ORIGIN BUILDING SOUTHEAST - BECOMING CENTERED OVER THE AREA SATURDAY.
THIS HIGH WILL OFFER COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS.
LOW TEMPERATURES BY SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID
AND UPPER 20S. HIGHS ON SATURDAY ONLY WARM TO THE MID AND UPPER 40S.
THESE READINGS WILL BE CLOSE TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. LOWS BY
SUNDAY MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S, A FEW
DEGREES BELOW. A SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON THE BACK SIDE OF
RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM
ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S TO THE MIDDLE 60S.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPS NEXT WEEK AS THE MID LEVEL FLOW
INITIALLY BACKS MORE ZONAL MONDAY AND THEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY MID WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEK AND MOISTURE RETURNS WITH A
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION BEGINNING MONDAY. THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL BRING DAILY PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WEEK THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A
FRONT INITIALLY SLIPS INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THEN A WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO TRAVEL THRU THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY. NBM PROBABILITIES
OF 48 HOUR RAINFALL ABOVE 1 INCH IS 50 TO 60 PERCENT, WITH
PROBABILITY OF RAINFALL ABOVE 2 INCHES OF 20 TO 30 PERCENT.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
RESIDUAL POST FRONTAL RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN KY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO
WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA ENDING THIS AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR
ADVECTS IN ON NORTHERLY FLOW.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH A LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OF CANADIAN
ORIGIN BUILDING SOUTHEAST BECOMING CENTERED OVER THE AREA SATURDAY.
THIS HIGH WILL OFFER DRY CONDITIONS. WIDESPREAD MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS
THE TAF SITES WILL IMPROVE TO VFR THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. EXPECT
CLOUDS TO SCATTER OUT OVERNIGHT WITH ONLY FEW CLOUDS FOR SATURDAY.
NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS WILL DECREASE THRU THE AFTERNOON.
EXPECT THE WINDS TO BACK A LITTLE NORTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT AT LESS
THAN 10 KTS AND THEN NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY AT LESS THAN 10 KTS
SATURDAY.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AR
AVIATION...AR
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