081
FXUS61 KILN 051028
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
628 AM EDT SUN APR 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ADDED FROST POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) COLDER AND DRIER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS
WEEK, WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE TONIGHT, AND THEN A FREEZE POSSIBLE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS.
2) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN STARTING MIDWEEK AND
EXTENDING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) POST-FRONTAL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE DAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHTER WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL ALLOW
SOME FROST TO DEVELOP WITH LOW TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE MIDDLE
30S.
A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY ON
MONDAY. SUPPOSE THIS COULD TRIGGER A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MONDAY
MORNING. STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR A LIGHT FREEZE BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS.
KEY MESSAGE 2) A POTENT SHORTWAVE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN
CANADA MIDWEEK. AHEAD OF THE WAVE, MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY, BRINGING A RETURN TO MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES. THESE
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TO START THE TAF PERIOD. BY MID MORNING,
COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CAUSE A STRATOCUMULUS DECK TO WORK ITS WAY INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY. THE LATEST GUIDANCE, ALONG WITH RECENT SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS, SUGGEST CEILINGS WILL STAY ABOVE 3,000 FEET. HOWEVER,
HAVE KEPT A SCT MVFR LAYER DUE TO SOME UNCERTAINTY IN CEILING HEIGHT.
THE STRATOCUMULUS WILL DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET TONIGHT YIELDING
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT AVIATION IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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