204
FXUS61 KILN 032301
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
701 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN RETURNS MID-WEEK WITH A RETURN OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
QUIET CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE ON TUESDAY WITH RIDGING AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL WITH CONTINUED BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.
BY WEDNESDAY, AN AREA OF WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP FROM THE
APPALACHIANS, REINTRODUCING POPS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-71 ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP.
BY THURSDAY, A LARGER TROUGH TO OUR WEST WILL ENCROACH, DRAGGING A
LONG TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY LOOKS TO STALL OUT JUST WEST OF OUR CWA, PROVIDING THE
FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. DETAILS STILL NEED TO BE WORKED OUT
REGARDING HOW THINGS WILL PROGRESS, BUT BASED ON THE ORIENTATION OF
THE FRONT AND LARGE SCALE FLOW, TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS COULD
INTRODUCE A FLOODING THREAT.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST FOR THE TAF PERIOD ASIDE FROM
SOME POSSIBLE BR LATE OVERNIGHT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT
BECOME LIGHT AND NORTHEASTERLY ON TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AIENA
AVIATION...CAMPBELL
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