223
FXUS61 KILN 010606
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
206 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
HEAT ADVISORY EXTENDED INTO THURSDAY. HEAT MAY LINGER INTO FRIDAY
BEFORE EASING.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HOT CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A GRADUAL
COOL DOWN WILL OCCUR OVER THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
EXPANSIVE, ANOMALOUSLY STRONG (APPROACHING 2 SIGMA) MID LEVEL HIGH
CENTERED SOUTH OF THE REGION WILL PREDOMINATE THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
HEAT INDICES AROUND TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE 100. WENT AHEAD AND EXTENDED
THE HEAT ADVISORY OUT THROUGH THURSDAY.
UPPER LOW TRACKING ACROSS CANADA WILL DIG INTO THE MARITIMES LATE IN
THE WEEK WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY RESULT IN TROUGHING MOST OF THE WAY
DOWN THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS WILL CAUSE THE HIGH TO CHANGE
ORIENTATION AND THEN RETROGRADE OVER THE WEEKEND. WHILE WELL
ADVERTISED, THIS PROCESS IS TRENDING A BIT SLOWER. SO, FRIDAY
TEMPERATURES MAY NOT DROP QUITE AS MUCH AS EARLIER FORECAST WHICH MAY
RESULT IN HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXTENDING EVEN ANOTHER DAY, AT
LEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
THE HEAT WAVE WILL EASE OVER THE WEEKEND AND TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN
CLOSER TO NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
WEST-EAST ORIENTED SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES ON THURSDAY COULD BE IN CLOSE ENOUGH PROXIMITY FOR SOME STORMS
TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE FORECAST AREA. AS THIS FRONT
SLOWLY SAGS SOUTH LATE IN THE WEEK, THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
MID TO HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. THERE MAY BE SOME VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS
IN SHALLOW FOG AT KLUK. THE LOWER LEVELS WILL BE FAIRLY DRY TODAY,
BUT THERE MAY STILL BE SOME CUMULUS THAT DEVELOP, ALTHOUGH IF THEY
DO IT MAY NOT BE UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY. THAT WILL DISSIPATE WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING LEAVING ONLY A BIT OF CIRRUS AT MOST.
OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR
OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR
KYZ089>100.
IN...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR
INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080.
DISCUSSION...35
AVIATION...35
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