033
FXUS61 KILN 240539
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
139 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER AND SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE TEMPERATURES START TO WARM BACK
UP NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
SOME LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE EAST OF I-75 THIS MORNING. LOW STRATUS
DECK WILL LINGER THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS TODAY, BUT DRIER MID LEVEL
AIR WILL BEGIN TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION AND GRADUALLY DISSOLVE SOME
OF THE CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE BEGINNING OF A
PROLONGED STRETCH OF DRIER WEATHER.
SYNOPTICALLY, THE OHIO VALLEY REMAINS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH, WHICH IS DRIVING THE COOLER/CLOUDIER PATTERN. WE
WILL BEGIN TO SEE A LARGE CUT OFF LOW DEVELOP ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST, CREATING A BLOCKING PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A FAIRLY STAGNANT WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS, WITH A CONSTANT ADVECTION OF SOME DRIER AIR OUT OF THE NE.
THUS, A MUCH NEEDED STRETCH OF DRIER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED,
ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES THAT WILL TREND BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
LOW STRATUS CLOUDS PERSIST THROUGH THIS MORNING, RESULTING IN A MIX
OF MVFR/IFR CIGS. EVENTUALLY, DRIER MID LEVEL AIR WILL ADVECT INTO
THE AREA AND BREAK APART THESE LOWER CLOUDS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO RETURN THIS AFTERNOON, WITH IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED FROM
EAST TO WEST.
CANNOT RULE OUT SOME -DZ AND MVFR VSBYS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT, BUT
CONFIDENCE AND COVERAGE REMAINS LOW ENOUGH TO NOT WARRANT MENTION IN
THE TAFS.
SURFACE WINDS REMAIN OUT OF THE ENE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD, GENERALLY
BETWEEN 5-10 KTS.
OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CLARK
AVIATION...CLARK
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