849
FXUS61 KILN 161732
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
132 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
FREEZE WATCH ISSUED FOR SATURDAY NIGHT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND BRISK CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT.
2) HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. WIDESPREAD
FROST IS LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL
SLOWLY MODERATE INTO MIDWEEK WHILE CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
POST FRONTAL PRECIPITATION AND BRISK CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SOME WRAP AROUND SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY
LINGER INTO TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY COLD FRONT PIVOTS THROUGH THE
AREA. IN CONTINUED LOW LEVEL CAA, TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S OVERNIGHT, BUT CLOUDS AND WINDS WILL HELP PREVENT
FROST FORMATION.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO OUR AREA SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE BEGINNING TO SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY.
THIS WILL BRING DRY AND CONTINUED COLD CONDITIONS. WITH THE SURFACE
HIGH CENTERED OVER OHIO BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, EXPECT GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING FOR SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS. HAVE UNDERCUT TEMPS SOMEWHAT AND WILL GENERALLY GO WITH LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S, WITH COOLER READINGS POSSIBLE IN THE
MORE SHELTERED AREAS. HAVE ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH FOR OUR ENTIRE AREA
FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WE WILL THEN GRADUALLY MODERATE THROUGH THE
REST OF NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS SLOWLY EAST.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLIER TODAY. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL
ALSO PERSIST, OCCASIONALLY DROPPING VSBYS INTO MVFR CATEGORY INTO
THIS EVENING. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL
PREVAIL INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE BECOMING MORE NORTHERLY TONIGHT AS A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRIER
AIRMASS WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DEVELOPING THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING.
OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
KYZ089>100.
IN...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080.
DISCUSSION...JGL
AVIATION...JGL
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