051
FXUS63 KIWX 202314
AFDIWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
614 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WINDS DOWN TONIGHT.
* DRY AND TRENDING WARMER THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
LES SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TAKE ON A MORE CELLULAR MULTI-
BANDED LOOK INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR OUR NORTHWEST
FLOW SNOW BELTS. CLOUD LAYER SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN WITHIN THE DGZ
INTO TONIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT FLUFFY ACCUMS AND MINOR
ADDITIONAL TRAVEL IMPACTS. WARMING/DRYING ALOFT AS HEIGHTS
RECOVERY ALOFT SHOULD ALLOW THIS ACTIVITY TO DWINDLE OVERNIGHT.
DRY CONDITIONS AND A WELCOMED WARMING TREND IS IN STORE THEN INTO
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT AS RETURN LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW
DEVELOPS UNDER A FLATTENED FLOW REGIME ALOFT. A FEW SHORTWAVES
EVENTUALLY TAKE AIM ON THE AREA AROUND MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY, AND
AGAIN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK WITH LOW CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.
THE LATE WEEK SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE THE GREATER POTENTIAL FOR RAIN
AND/OR SNOW AS THE BULK OF GUIDANCE SHOWS A MORE AMPLIFIED WAVE AND
DEVELOPING SFC REFLECTION. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY AVERAGE ABOVE
NORMAL OTHERWISE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 614 PM EST THU FEB 20 2025
BRIEF UPTICK IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS EVENING IN WAKE ON INTENSE
MESOLOW THIS MORNING AS MVFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE. LOW
LEVEL THERMAL INVERSION COLLAPSES AFTER MIDNIGHT AS FLOW BACKS
MORE NWRLY AND EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS END ABRUPTLY WITH VFR
DEVELOPING TOWARD LATE MORNING AS DRY ENTRAINMENT ERODES OUT
PERSISTENT LOW STRATOCU.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ FRIDAY
FOR INZ005-103-104-204.
OH...NONE.
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY FOR MIZ078-177-
277.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR LMZ043-046.
DISCUSSION...STEINWEDEL
AVIATION...T
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page