334
FXUS63 KIWX 131924
AFDIWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
224 PM EST THU NOV 13 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGHS CLIMBING UP INTO THE
60S. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON ON
SATURDAY.
- COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, BRINGING A RETURN TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST BY TUESDAY AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 218 PM EST THU NOV 13 2025
VERY PLEASANT FALL WEATHER TODAY WITH HIGHS RIGHT AROUND
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN
ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, RESULTING IN
WARMING TEMPERATURES. IF THE SNOW HASN'T MELTED IN YOUR AREA
YET, TRUST ME IT WILL. HIGHS WILL WARM UP INTO THE MID TO UPPER
60S BY SATURDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP OUT OF
ONTARIO DURING THE DAY SAT, BRUSHING OUR AREA WITH A CHANCE
(20-40%) FOR RAIN SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF US-30. TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND AFTERNOON MIXING OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL INCREASE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 15-20MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30MPH.
TEMPERATURES DROP NOTICEABLY ON SUNDAY AS NORTHWESTERLY COLD
AIR ADVECTION OCCURS ACROSS THE AREA, WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN
THE MID/UPPER 40S. THESE TEMPS WILL HOLD MOSTLY STEADY THROUGH
THE WORK WEEK. TUESDAY, A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT
OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL TRAVERSE ACROSS THE CENTRAL US.
THIS WILL INTRODUCE RAIN CHANCES BACK INTO THE AREA, WITH
PERHAPS A RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. WARM AIR
ADVECTION OUT AHEAD OF A DEEPENING PANHANDLE HOOK LOW WILL BRING
MORE WIDESPREAD (AND BENEFICIAL) RAINFALL TO THE AREA BY
THURSDAY-FRIDAY WITH PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE PLACING A 25-45%
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 1 INCH OF PRECIPITATION WITHIN A 48 HOUR
PERIOD ENDING SATURDAY MORNING. TBD ON THE DETAILS, BUT PLAN ON
A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER BEFORE WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. .
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1152 AM EST THU NOV 13 2025
DRY CONDITIONS AND VFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH
THE DURATION OF THE TAF PERIOD, BUT MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
MOVE IN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF A WARM FRONT
LIFTING NORTH. WEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO BECOME SOUTHWEST BY THE
EVENING AND THEN EVENTUALLY SOUTH BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
FRIDAY.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...NONE.
OH...NONE.
MI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NORMAN
AVIATION...JOHNSON
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