762
FXUS64 KJAN 272009
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
309 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 309 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY:
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY:
LITTLE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST AS A RIDGE OFF TO OUR EAST WITH
ENTRENCH MID/UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO CAUSE AN
OVERALL STAGNATION IN THE AIRMASS. PATCHY DENSE TO AREAS OF FOG
CAN'T BE RULED OUT TONIGHT & WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN LOCATIONS THAT
RECEIVED EFFICIENT RAINFALL RECENTLY. MODELS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT A
POTENTIAL DECAYING COMPLEX OF STORMS MOVING INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON; HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY IN STRENGTH REMAINS. GIVEN
THE SEVERE NATURE OVER THE PAST FEW DAY AND MINIMAL ATMOSPHERIC
CHANGES, SEVERE STORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE
MADE TO TODAY'S SEVERE HWO GRAPHIC, ADDING TIMING MAINLY BETWEEN 3-
7PM AND BY MOVING THE "SLIGHT" RISK AREA EASTWARD AND WILL CONTINUE
TO WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING AS SOILS ARE SATURATED.
FRIDAY THROUGH END OF PERIOD:
A DEEP LOW NEAR NEBRASKA IS EXPECTED TO TRAVEL EAST THROUGH THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY LATE WEEK WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH
THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY, POTENTIALLY
ORGANIZED, COULD MOVE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE FRONT.
DIMINISHING RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH QUIET CONDITIONS
EXPECTED POST FRONTAL PASSAGE. AN ISOLATED, AFTERNOON SHOWER/STORM
WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE
60S ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. /SW/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS AS
MORNING SHOWERS AND STORMS COME TO AN END. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH BRIEF
REDUCTION IN FLIGHT CONDITIONS. LOW CEILINGS AROUND 08Z WEDNESDAY IS
EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MVFR/LIFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF
THE PERIOD. /SW/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 67 85 67 82 / 30 50 60 80
MERIDIAN 66 86 66 80 / 40 40 60 90
VICKSBURG 67 84 68 83 / 30 50 60 80
HATTIESBURG 70 89 70 84 / 40 70 50 90
NATCHEZ 68 84 66 82 / 30 60 60 80
GREENVILLE 66 82 68 80 / 20 30 50 70
GREENWOOD 65 84 67 81 / 20 30 60 80
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SW
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