778
FXUS64 KJAN 280848
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 345 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...
NOT MUCH CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK WITH THE
CONTINUATION OF THE WET PATTERN. A TRAIN OF MIDLEVEL DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE WESTERLY/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME WILL KEEP A
MARGINAL STORM THREAT TODAY AND TOMORROW. THIS WILL LIKELY COME IN
THE FORM OF ORGANIZED STORM COMPLEXES LIKE WE HAVE SEEN THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS WITH A PRIMARY THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE. NO SIGNIFICANT AIRMASS CHANGE IS
EXPECTED UNTIL LATER FRIDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A FRONT. ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE TRAILING FRONT, SOME STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS
IT PUSHES SOUTH, BUT WITH UPPER FORCING EJECTING OUT, SEVERE RISK
APPEARS MORE LIMITED.
WE FINALLY DRIER CONDITIONS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S AND 60S THIS WEEKEND. THE HUMID AIRMASS
RECOVERS EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH INCREASING TEMPERATURES AS RIDGING
BUILDS ALOFT AND LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY TRAJECTORIES ARE RESTORED.
THIS WILL RETURN DIURNALLY DRIVEN AFTERNOON STORMS TO THE
FORECAST, BUT THE WEAK SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT BETTER ORGANIZATION AND
THUS GREATER SEVERE THREAT./SAS/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1136 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
MVFR/IFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA AND PREVAIL UNTIL NEAR
15Z. BY 17Z, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AREAWIDE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE TAF PERIOD. FLIGHT CATEGORIES COULD LOCALLY FALL BELOW VFR IN
THE VICINITY OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
COVERAGE INCREASING AFTER 12Z. /86/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 86 68 83 68 / 20 60 90 30
MERIDIAN 86 67 83 66 / 10 50 90 40
VICKSBURG 86 68 83 67 / 30 60 80 30
HATTIESBURG 90 70 84 71 / 30 50 100 30
NATCHEZ 86 68 83 68 / 40 60 90 20
GREENVILLE 82 68 81 65 / 10 40 70 50
GREENWOOD 84 67 82 65 / 10 40 80 50
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SAS20/SAS20/LP
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