061
FXUS64 KJAN 092019
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
150 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 149 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
THE "LIMITED" RISK FOR HEAT STRESS CONCERNS ACROSS THE WESTERN
PORTION OF THE AREA CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK AS TEMPERATURES AND
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS RETURNING TO NEAR/SLIGHTLY ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. HEAT INDICES IN THESE AREA COULD APPROACH
105 F INTO NEXT WEEK. WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER RIDGE AS EVIDENCED BY AN
UPPER LOW SHIFTING WESTWARD IN THE GULF WILL CONTINUE TO YIELD TO
RISING HEIGHTS LOCALLY, SUPPORTING THE WARMING TREND. EARLY
INDICATIONS SUGGEST THE RISK AREA/SEVERITY MAY GROW AS WE APPROACH
LATE WEEK AND TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED IN THAT REGARD. INCREASES IN
MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURES WILL HELP SUPPORT INCREASING RAIN AND
STORM CHANCES EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING, PARTICULARLY FOR TOMORROW AND
INTO NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE, LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN IS
ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
TROPICAL EXPECTATIONS REMAIN SIMILAR TO AS DISCUSSED YESTERDAY AND
SINCE THAT TIME A ROBUST TROPICAL WAVE HAS EMERGED OFF OF AFRICA, AS
IS OFTEN THE CASE IN AUGUST. THE NHC DESIGNATES THIS FEATURE WITH A
40% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENTS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. GUIDANCE
SPREAD REMAINS LARGE AND THUS THE WAVE WILL JUST BEAR WATCHING OVER
THE NEXT WEEK OR SO AS COULD BE EXPECTED THIS TIME OF YEAR. /86/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 149 PM CDT SAT AUG 9 2025
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WITH EASTERLY WINDS UP TO 10 KTS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /SW/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 73 92 74 93 / 0 20 10 50
MERIDIAN 72 90 72 90 / 0 20 10 50
VICKSBURG 73 94 75 94 / 0 20 20 50
HATTIESBURG 74 92 74 93 / 10 40 10 60
NATCHEZ 72 92 74 93 / 0 30 10 50
GREENVILLE 72 95 74 94 / 0 10 10 40
GREENWOOD 73 95 74 94 / 0 10 10 40
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
LP/LP/SW
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page