469
FXUS64 KJAN 300243 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
943 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 929 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
MID EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST
SOUTH OF OUR CWA. MID EVENING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WITH SOME DRIER AIR ALOFT MOVING ACROSS OUR CWA. THIS
DRIER AIR HAS HELPED ERODE MUCH OF THE STRATUS LAYER THAT HAS BEEN
ACROSS OUR CWA ALL DAY. THE LAYER OF STRATUS IS PROGGED TO SPREAD
BACK NORTH A BIT TOWARD MORNING. LOCAL RADARS ONLY HAD VERY LIGHT
RETURNS ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST MOST ZONES. RAIN CHANCES WILL EXPAND
BACK NORTH A BIT TOWARD MORNING AS WELL. PATCHY FOG, SOME POSSIBLY
DENSE MAY DEVELOP ALONG OUR INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR WITH THE
HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OF DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED OVER OUR
EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ZONES. WL HOLD OFF FOR NOW ON ISSUING A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY AS THE EXPANDING STRATUS AND RAIN CHANCES MAY
OCCUR FARTHER NORTH THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. /22/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY:
FRIDAY NIGHT:
THE WET PATTERN OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS IS GRADUALLY COMING TO
AN END AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSH SOUTHWARD. THE BOUNDARY IS
EXPECTED TO STALL NEAR THE GULF COAST; KEEPING LINGERING SHOWERS
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AND INTO SATURDAY.
FOG DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
LABOR DAY WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY:
A LONGWAVE TROUGH PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO SET UP POST FRONTAL
PASSAGE, BRINGING IN DRIER AIR ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. CLOUD COVER WILL DISSIPATING THROUGHOUT
SATURDAY, SETTING UP COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE
LABOR DAY WEEKEND. DRY/COOL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
THE NEW WEEK. NEXT BEST RAIN CHANCES (15-30%) WILL COME TOWARDS MID-
WEEK AS ANOTHER BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES (HIGHS: MID/UPPER 80S, LOWS:
MID 60S) FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. /SW/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 700 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025
THE CHANCE FOR -SHRA WL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SE TAF SITES THIS
EVENING AND MAY RESULT IN LOWER VSBYS BUT MVFR/IFR CIGS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CNTRL AND SOUTH. AFTER 06Z CIGS WL BEGIN
LOWERING TO IFR WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GLH WHICH WL REMAIN VFR
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AFTER 09Z LIFR VSBYS WL BE PSBL OVER THE
CNTRL AND EAST MS TAF SITES. CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE
AFTER 14Z AND MVFR CIGS MAY CONTINUE CNTRL AND SOUTH UNTIL AFTER
17Z. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SAT AFTN BUT IN THE SOUTH
ISOLATED -SHRA/-TSRA MAY COME IN VCTY OF THE SE TAF SITES. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 68 87 68 87 / 10 10 0 10
MERIDIAN 66 85 65 85 / 10 20 10 10
VICKSBURG 68 86 68 88 / 10 10 0 10
HATTIESBURG 71 86 69 89 / 40 40 10 20
NATCHEZ 69 84 67 87 / 30 20 10 10
GREENVILLE 64 90 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 64 91 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/SW/22
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