690
FXUS64 KJAN 111844
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
144 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 142 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY: WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. OUR CWA WILL REMAIN ON THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A LARGE 594DAM RIDGE THAT WAS PART OF THE OMEGA BLOCK
CENTERED OVER THE CONUS. SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD A 1019MB RIDGE
ORIENTED NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS OUR CWA. THIS RIDGE WILL
CHANGE VERY LITTLE THROUGH FRIDAY. THE COMBINED RIDGING SURFACE AND
ALOFT WILL HELP MAINTAIN THE WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS
OUR REGION WITH HIGHS FRIDAY TOPPING OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 90S. OUR
NORMAL HIGHS RUN IN THE UPPER 80S. LOWS FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70F. OUR NORMAL LOWS RUN IN THE MID 60S.
/22/
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY QUIET ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
CONUS THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS GLOBAL GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO SHOW THE OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN WITH RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL CONUS. HREF GUIDANCE IS STARTING TO SHOW LOW PROBABILITIES
(AROUND 5-10%) OF PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MS BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO
INTRODUCE ANY FOG GRAPHICS AT THIS TIME, HOWEVER SHALLOW FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE AROUND DAWN. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SFC RIDGING FROM THE
NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO A WARMING TREND THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS PEAKING
OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
CONTINUES TO SHOW ABNORMALLY DRY TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO WORSEN THROUGH THE
MID-WEEK GIVEN THE LACK OF RAINFALL IN THE FORECAST ALONG WITH HOT
TEMPERATURES. /CR/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND A LIGHT WIND WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 70 94 68 94 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 67 92 65 92 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 70 95 68 95 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 67 94 67 93 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 70 95 68 94 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 69 96 67 95 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 69 96 66 95 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/CR/22
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