653
FXUS64 KJAN 121523 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1023 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1017 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED AGAIN
TODAY. RIDGING ALOFT TO OUR WEST WILL COMBINE WITH SURFACE RIDGING
ACROSS OUR CWA FROM THE NORTHEAST TO ALLOW AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
LOW TO MID 90S. THERE WERE A FEW SHOWERS TO OUR EAST THIS MORNING
BUT THEY HAVE DISSIPATED AND NO MEASURABLE RAIN IS EXPECTED IN
OUR CWA TODAY. /22/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1108 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WILL PRIMARILY FEATURE AN RIDGE OVERSPREADING OUR
FORECAST AREA FROM THE WEST. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL REINFORCE DRY FLOW INTO OUR REGION IN THE
LOWER LEVELS. COLLECTIVELY, THE DRY AND SUBSIDENT PATTERN WILL
RESULT IN TEMPS PUSHING THE MID TO UPPER 90S - ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR MID SEPTEMBER.
NO RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST, SO THE LATE-SUMMER HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO STRESS VEGETATION IN THE REGION. LOW-END
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS COULD DEVELOP IF RH VALUES DROP BELOW 30% OVER
PARTS OF THE AREA. OTHERWISE, THE DRIER CONDITIONS MAY ACTUALLY MAKE
THE WEEKEND FEEL MORE PLEASANT THAN EXPECTED FOR MID-90S TEMPS. /NF/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 647 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
/86/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 94 68 94 67 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 92 66 91 65 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 95 69 94 68 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 94 67 94 65 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 94 69 94 68 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 96 68 95 65 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 96 67 95 65 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/NF/
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