484
FXUS64 KJAN 162315 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
615 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 251 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
OVERALL, THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK WARM AND RELATIVELY DRY
FOR THE MOST PART WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL
RAINFALL.
THROUGH TONIGHT: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST
CONUS. CYCLONIC FLOW AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH AND ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THE STORMS
SHOULD PEAK PRIOR TO SUNSET, BUT A FEW STORMS WILL LIKELY LINGER
INTO THE EVENING. /EC/
WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT: THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
WILL SEE A PATTERN BREAKDOWN AS CENTERS OF UPPER-LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND THE EASTERN CONUS WEAKEN.
FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS SHOULD BECOME ZONAL BY THE WEEKEND, BUT
THERE WILL STILL BE SOME OPPORTUNITY FOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH
AMPLIFICATION THAT COULD YIELD MORE AREAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY AS THE WESTERN SYSTEM PIVOTS
THROUGH THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY. AVERAGE TEMPS WILL STILL
BE A LITTLE WARMER THAN NORMAL - ABOUT 3 TO 5 DEGREES WARMER THAN
NORMAL ON MOST DAYS. /NF/EC/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 615 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025
ISOLATED PRIMARILY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING CONVECTION WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY, RESULTING IN BRIEF CEILING AND
VISBY REDUCTIONS AND POTENTIALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS FOR THE AREAS
IMPACTED. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD WITH LIGHT WIND. /DL/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 69 91 68 93 / 10 10 0 0
MERIDIAN 67 92 66 93 / 0 10 0 0
VICKSBURG 69 92 68 92 / 20 10 0 10
HATTIESBURG 67 94 66 94 / 0 10 0 0
NATCHEZ 69 91 67 92 / 10 10 0 0
GREENVILLE 69 94 68 93 / 10 10 0 10
GREENWOOD 68 94 67 94 / 10 10 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
EC/NF/DL
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