215  
FXUS64 KJAN 171842  
AFDJAN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
142 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 140 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2025  
 
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY: THE BLOCKING PATTERN THAT HAS BEEN DOMINATING  
OUR WEATHER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK DOWN  
THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED LIGHT NORTHWEST TO  
NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS OUR REGION. WEAK SURFACE RIDGING WILL CONTINUE  
OVER OUR CWA AS WELL RESULTING IN A MOSTLY LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST  
WIND. ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN VERY LOW AND ISOLATED  
AFTERNOON SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CAN'T BE RULED OUT DURING PEAK  
HEATING. OUR LOWS TONIGHT AND HIGHS THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO RUN  
WARMER THAN NORMAL. OUR NORMAL LOWS RUN IN THE LOWER 60S WHILE  
OUR NORMAL HIGHS RUN IN THE MID 80S. /22/  
 
QUIET CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CWA FOR THE REST OF THE  
WEEK, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO (AND  
THUNDERSTORM) MAINLY ALONG NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO PICKUP STARTING NEXT WEEK TO ABOUT 20-30%  
ACROSS ALL ZONES, DUE TO A SHIFT IN THE OVERALL UPPER AIR PATTERN  
BRINGING A BROAD TROUGH AND NORTHWEST FLOW OVER AR/LA/MS. EXPECT  
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION FOR THE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY NEXT  
WEEK WHICH COULD HAVE SEVERE CHARACTERISTICS, SO IT IS ADVISED TO  
STAY APPRISED OF ALL CURRENT UPDATES REGARDING NEXT WEEK'S  
WEATHER PATTERN./OAJ/  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2025  
 
THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR -SHRA/-TSRA TO COME IN VCTY OF THE  
TAF SITES 20-24Z. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS AND A LIGHT WIND WILL  
PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /22/  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
JACKSON 69 92 69 92 / 20 0 0 10  
MERIDIAN 67 93 68 93 / 10 0 0 0  
VICKSBURG 69 93 68 93 / 20 0 0 10  
HATTIESBURG 67 94 67 95 / 10 0 0 0  
NATCHEZ 68 92 67 92 / 20 0 0 10  
GREENVILLE 69 94 68 92 / 20 0 0 20  
GREENWOOD 68 95 68 94 / 20 0 0 10  
 

 
   
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MS...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
AR...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
22/OAJ/22  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
The Nexlab LA Page Main Text Page