180  
FXUS64 KJAN 021737 AAA  
AFDJAN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
1237 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WITH WARM DAYS AND COOL NIGHTS EXPECTED INTO  
THE WEEKEND.  
 
- RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO INCREASE SOME EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
MESOSCALE UPDATE
 
 
ISSUED AT 953 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2025  
 
THE EARLY MORNING LIGHT SHOWERS THAT MOVED ACROSS PORTIONS OF OUR  
CWA HAVE DISSIPATED. A VERY WEAK BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE  
SHOWERS WERE NOTED OVER OUR LOUISIANA PARISHES BUT THIS FEATURE  
WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING WEST AND NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS  
ANTICIPATED IN OUR CWA TODAY. ANOTHER WARMER THAN NORMAL DAY IS  
ON TAP FOR CWA. /22/  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 237 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2025  
 
TODAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST  
REMAINS WEDGED INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE  
FORECAST PERIOD. BUT IT WILL WEAKEN A BIT ACROSS THE AREA MID-WEEK  
AS ITS CENTER DRIFTS EAST OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. RIDGING ALOFT  
WILL BREAK DOWN TODAY INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW LOW PRESSURE  
ALOFT TO BUILD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THIS WEEKEND.  
HOWEVER, IT'LL WEAKEN OVER THE REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN SCARCE ACROSS THE CWA AND PRIMARILY IN THE  
FORM OF A FEW STRAY SHOWERS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. THE  
INCREASED PRESENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED MID/UPPER LOW ACROSS THE  
REGION SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK, ALONG WITH INCREASING MOISTURE, WILL  
BRING ABOUT SOME BETTER RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.  
STILL, WITH THE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED NATURE OF CONVECTION, MUCH OF  
THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY. WITH THIS ONGOING LONG DURATION STRETCH OF  
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL, WE WILL BE MONITORING FOR ANY INCREASED FIRE  
WEATHER CONCERNS IN THIS DRY WEATHER PATTERN.  
 
AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED, AT TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL  
WARMTH WILL BE FELT AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGHS PEAK IN THE MID  
80S TO LOWER 90S. COME FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND, AFTERNOON HIGHS  
WILL BE MORE SEASONABLE, MID TO UPPER 80S, AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS EAST  
INTO THE REGION. CONDITIONS WILL WARM THROUGH MID-WEEK AS MOISTURE  
AGAIN SUBTLY CREEPS BACK INTO THE REGION. /19/  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /22/  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
JACKSON 87 63 85 65 / 0 0 0 0  
MERIDIAN 87 59 84 63 / 0 0 0 0  
VICKSBURG 90 64 86 63 / 0 0 0 0  
HATTIESBURG 89 64 87 66 / 10 0 0 0  
NATCHEZ 89 64 86 64 / 0 0 0 0  
GREENVILLE 91 62 86 61 / 0 0 0 0  
GREENWOOD 90 62 86 62 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MS...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
AR...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
22/19/22  
 
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