995  
FXUS64 KJAN 040542  
AFDJAN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
1242 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WITH WARM DAYS AND COOL NIGHTS EXPECTED INTO  
THIS WEEKEND.  
 
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH INCREASING MOISTURE  
AND A DISTURBANCE OVER THE REGION.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND: THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SURFACE RIDGE  
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC CONTINUES TO EXTEND INTO THE AREA, WHILE  
MORE DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A MIGRATORY UPPER LOW  
REMAINS SITUATED OVER THE GULF. EASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE  
SURFACE RIDGE WILL KEEP MOST OF OUR AREA DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM  
THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER, THE GULF DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED  
MOISTURE WILL WAVER NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA,  
PROVIDING POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY  
SUNDAY MAINLY SOUTH OF I-20. CONDITIONS MAY ALSO BE SLIGHTLY  
COOLER - CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS - ACROSS SOUTH MS DUE TO  
GREATER CLOUD COVER. /DL/  
 
NEXT WORK WEEK: HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE CENTER OF THE  
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MID-ATLANTIC  
COAST AS TROUGHING OVER THE WEST COAST DEEPENS. THE RESULTING  
NEGATIVE PNA PATTERN OVER THE CONUS WILL RESULT IN SOUTHWESTERLY  
FLOW ALOFT AND SQUEEZE TO EASTERLY FLOW AT THE GULF COAST. EXPECT  
DEEPENING MOISTURE (PWATS NEAR 2.0 INCHES) AND A DISTURBANCE  
LIFTING INTO OUR REGION TO BRING RAIN CHANCES INTO THE NEW WORK  
WEEK. A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH INTO THE REGION BY LATE WEEK WILL  
THEN SERVE TO FOCUS ADDITIONAL SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES  
WITH MORE ACTIVE FLOW ALOFT. /NF/  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH FEW TO SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS IN THE  
EAST AND A PREVAILING EASTERLY WIND AROUND 8KTS./SAS/  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
JACKSON 86 67 83 69 / 0 0 20 20  
MERIDIAN 84 66 83 68 / 0 10 20 20  
VICKSBURG 88 66 85 69 / 0 0 20 10  
HATTIESBURG 86 68 82 71 / 0 10 40 30  
NATCHEZ 88 66 84 69 / 0 0 30 10  
GREENVILLE 87 63 87 69 / 0 0 10 10  
GREENWOOD 88 65 88 69 / 0 0 10 20  
 
 
   
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
MS...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
AR...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
DL/NF/SAS20  
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