923
FXUS64 KJAN 041114
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
614 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY THIS WEEKEND, WITH SOME RAIN CHANCES RETURNING
DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
TODAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY...ANOTHER WARM DRY DAY WILL EXIST ACROSS
THE CWA TODAY. PERSISTENT EASTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL
MAINTAIN THE DRIER AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION AS DEW POINTS AGAIN MIX
INTO THE MID 50S AND LOWER 60S THIS AFTERNOON. UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES, HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL REMAIN WEDGED INTO THE REGION FROM
THE NORTHEAST THROUGH EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK. LOW PRESSURE ALOFT
WILL ASSERT ITSELF ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER, IT'LL
WEAKEN EARLY IN THE WEEK, ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT TO BUILD INTO
THE REGION FROM THE EAST.
DURING THIS TIME, THE INCREASED PRESENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
MID/UPPER LOW ACROSS THE REGION, ALONG WITH INCREASING MOISTURE LATE
IN THE WEEKEND INTO THE WORK WEEK, WILL BRING ABOUT SOME BETTER RAIN
CHANCES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. STILL,
GIVEN THE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED NATURE OF CONVECTION, MUCH OF THE
AREA WILL REMAIN DRY.
ON WEDNESDAY, A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SINK SOUTH INTO AND
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ONLY AN ISOLATED
CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STORM ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE WILL QUICKLY BUILD SOUTHEAST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY IN THE FRONT'S WAKE. NOT MUCH OF AN AIRMASS CHANGE IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE, AS ONLY A
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT INTO THE REGION. STILL, LESS HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL EXIST AS HIGHS HOVER IN THE 80S AND LOWS GENERALLY
FALL INTO THE 60S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. /19/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
VFR PERSISTS WITH CONDITIONS FROM PREVIOUS ISSUANCE UNCHANGED. A
FEW CLOUDS WILL SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD AMID PREVAIL EASTERLIES
AROUND 8KTS./SAS/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 86 67 83 69 / 0 0 20 20
MERIDIAN 84 66 83 68 / 0 10 20 20
VICKSBURG 88 66 85 69 / 0 0 20 10
HATTIESBURG 86 68 82 71 / 0 10 40 30
NATCHEZ 88 66 84 69 / 0 0 30 10
GREENVILLE 87 63 87 69 / 0 0 10 10
GREENWOOD 88 65 88 69 / 0 0 10 20
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19/19/SAS20
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