856  
FXUS64 KJAN 060548  
AFDJAN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS  
1248 AM CDT MON OCT 6 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- RAIN CHANCES EXIST THROUGH MID-WEEK, BUT WARM AND MOSTLY DRY  
WEATHER CONTINUES TO BE THE GENERAL THEME AS WE GO THROUGH THIS  
WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 208 PM CDT SUN OCT 5 2025  
 
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY: WEAK LOW PRESSURE IS POSITIONING ITSELF  
OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH IT,  
INCREASING MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION WILL YIELD SOME INCREASING  
RAIN CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA  
AS WE GO THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, BUT A GOOD BIT OF  
MOISTENING IS REQUIRED AND THIS IS DELAYING THE ONSET OF ANY  
MEASURABLE RAINFALL.  
 
ALTHOUGH THIS MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ERODES HEADING  
INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK, MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT WILL LINGER  
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MID-WEEK. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO  
RESULT IN RAIN CHANCES REMAINING IN THE FORECAST, ESPECIALLY DURING  
THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON, THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. THIS IS WHEN  
A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO SINK SOUTH INTO AND THROUGH  
THE REGION.  
 
IN THIS FRONT'S WAKE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, HIGH PRESSURE AT THE  
SURFACE WILL QUICKLY BUILD SOUTHEAST INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
RIVER VALLEY, WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDING SOUTHWEST ALONG THE  
NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST. NOT MUCH OF AN AIRMASS CHANGE IS  
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE, AS ONLY SOME  
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT INTO THE REGION. STILL, SOMEWHAT LESS  
HUMID CONDITIONS WILL EXIST AS TEMPERATURES HOVER AT TO JUST ABOVE  
THE NORM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR LATE IN THE WEEK. /19/EC/  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1246 AM CDT MON OCT 6 2025  
 
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL DUE TO LOW STRATUS THROUGH MUCH THE  
DAY TODAY WITH CEILINGS FROM 500-1500FT. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL  
ACCOMPANY THIS. CEILINGS WILL GENERALLY LIFT TO MVFR/VFR THIS  
AFTERNOON, WITH RAIN SHOWERS COMING TO AN END AT SOUTHERN SITES.  
HOWEVER, RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST FURTHER NORTH THROUGH THE  
PERIOD./SAS/  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
JACKSON 86 71 88 69 / 40 30 30 20  
MERIDIAN 83 68 88 68 / 50 30 30 20  
VICKSBURG 86 71 89 69 / 60 40 30 10  
HATTIESBURG 87 71 89 70 / 60 20 30 10  
NATCHEZ 86 69 90 69 / 60 30 20 10  
GREENVILLE 83 70 85 68 / 70 60 50 20  
GREENWOOD 85 70 88 68 / 60 60 50 30  
 
 
   
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
MS...NONE.  
LA...NONE.  
AR...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
EC/19/SAS20  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
The Nexlab LA Page
Main Text Page