576
FXUS64 KJAN 081729
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1229 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. ONLY A VERY
LOW CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
- DRIER CONDITIONS WITH COOLER MORNINGS WILL RETURN DURING THE
LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 926 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
THE DENSE FOG HAS LIFTED AND THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WAS ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE AT 9AM. A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS THAT WAS NEARLY ALONG AND
JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 THIS MORNING HAS ALSO DISSIPATED BUT
THERE WILL REMAIN VERY LOW CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO DROP
THROUGH THE CWA. THIS DRY COLD FRONT WAS NOTED ALONG THE HIGHWAY
82 CORRIDOR AT MID MORNING. THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT THROUGH THE CWA THROUGH THIS EVENING. /22/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 244 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
EARLY MORNING CAM GUIDANCE IS STILL SHOWING LOW PROBABILITIES (20-
30%) OF DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT PRIMARILY OVER EAST AND SOUTHEAST
PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. BECAUSE OF THIS, A "LIMITED"
THREAT FOR DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO BE ADVERTISED. ANY FOG SHOULD
LIFT AND DISSIPATE BY MID-MORNING.
NEAR TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW THE WEAK COLD FRONT SHIFTING
SOUTHWARD ACROSS OUR CWA. A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT MAINLY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF HWY 84 LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
ELSEWHERE, WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET.
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL PEAK INTO THE LOW/MID 80S AREAWIDE.
THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD AND EVENTUALLY
OUT OF OUR CWA HEADING INTO THURSDAY. WITH THE COLD FRONT OUT OF OUR
AREA, THERE WILL BE A NOTICEABLE DECREASE IN BOTH MOISTURE AND
HUMIDITY. THIS WILL LIMIT RAIN CHANCES AND ALLOW FOR QUIET AND DRIER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEK
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
CLOSE TO NORMAL, NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES WILL COOL A LITTLE MORE IN
THE DRIER AIR THAN THEY HAVE RECENTLY. /CR/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
A MIX OF VFR/MVFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL AT AREA TAF
SITES INTO THIS EVENING. THIS IS AS A RESULT OF LOW STRATUS
SINKING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. SOME
OF THIS STRATUS WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER COME
THURSDAY MORNING, A RETURN TO VFR CATEGORIES IS FORECAST. WINDS
WILL BE BREEZY FROM THE NORTH BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON,
GUSTING BETWEEN 15-20 KNOTS AT TIMES. WIND WILL REMAIN NORTH
NORTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT WHILE HOVERING BETWEEN 5-8 KNOTS. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 64 83 61 82 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 61 84 60 80 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 63 83 57 83 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 67 88 64 84 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 64 85 58 84 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 59 79 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 58 82 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19
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