829
FXUS64 KJAN 291813
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
113 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LIGHT
SHOWERS IN THE NORTHEAST EARLY THIS EVENING.
- STRONG GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING.
- COLDER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE WEEK, WITH
PATCHY LIGHT FROST POSSIBLE IN EAST TO NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
FRIDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
THROUGH THURSDAY: LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY/RAP ANALYSIS SHOWED A
NEARLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI/NORTHWEST ALABAMA THAT WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TO
THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT AND OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY THURSDAY. THIS WILL HELP MAINTAIN OUR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH INTO THIS EVENING. THE LIGHT RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF FROM THE WEST THE FARTHER TO
THE NORTHEAST FROM OUR CWA THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM GETS. CLOUD COVER
WILL CONTINUE MOST OF TONIGHT BEFORE STARTING TO DECREASE FROM THE
WEST WELL BEFORE SUNRISE. THE CONTINUED CAA TONIGHT WL PROVIDE
COLDER THAN NORMAL MORNING LOWS IN THE 40S. ALTHOUGH THE WIND WILL
BE MUCH LIGHTER AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER, THE DEEP NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL HOLD AFTERNOON HIGHS COOLER THAN NORMAL THURSDAY AS WELL.
/22/
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY...THE MAIN STORY DURING THIS
CURRENT EARLY AUTUMN COOL DOWN, WILL BE THAT OF A POTENTIAL LIGHT
FROST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. CURRENTLY, THIS POTENTIAL LOOKS BEST
ACROSS MAINLY PORTIONS OF EAST AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THERE,
THE BETTER LIKELIHOOD OF CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS EXIST OVERNIGHT
THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING, ALLOWING LOWS TO FALL AT LEAST
INTO THE MIDDLE 30S. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLIGHTED IN THIS
AFTERNOON'S HWO. ELSEWHERE, LOWS FRIDAY MORNING WILL STILL BE
CHILLY AS THEY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. COOL CLEAR
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGHS RANGE FROM
THE MIDDLE 60S TO AROUND 70.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN REBOUNDING A BIT EACH PERIOD DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST
OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS'LL ALLOW MOISTURE TO BEGIN SUBTLY
INCREASING ACROSS THE REGION. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
PROGGED TO SHIFT EAST ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING SOME CLOUD COVER AND SMALL RAIN
CHANCES TO THE FORECAST AREA AS THE WEEKEND COMES TO AN END AND INTO
THE START OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. TUESDAY CURRENTLY LOOKS DRY AND
WARMER WITH HIGHS BACK IN THE 70S AREAWIDE AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
40S. /19/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
MVFR CIGS WL PREVAIL ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES UNTIL IMPROVING
AFTER 15Z THU. VFR CIGS WL PREVAIL CNTRL AND SOUTH UNTIL AFTER
00Z AND THEN DROP TO MVFR. MVFR CIGS WL CONTINUE CNTRL AND SOUTH
UNTIL IMPROVING AFTER 15Z. THE GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL
CONTINUE PAST 00Z BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 47 62 40 66 / 20 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 46 62 37 67 / 10 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 48 63 40 67 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 50 66 40 70 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 47 64 40 68 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 46 61 42 65 / 10 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 45 61 38 65 / 30 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-025-
034>036-040>062.
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
023>026.
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.
22/19/22
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